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Feb 9 2020 03:43pm
Quote (EndlessSky @ Feb 9 2020 01:40pm)
Social security was always a convenient lie according to the second law of themodynamics. I'll be fine by then with enough stock and FD's to make it summertime snow.

You have to remember that the Federal Reserve had NEGATIVE interest rates under Obama and the economy still flopped.



There isn’t a fact or a even debatable statement in there.
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Feb 9 2020 03:46pm
Quote (theCrossbones @ Feb 9 2020 04:43pm)
There isn’t a fact or a even debatable statement in there.
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Negative interest rates

:bonk:
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Feb 9 2020 03:47pm
Quote (Tuned_Bale_Hay @ 9 Feb 2020 16:34)
https://pasteboard.co/ITW80EF.jpg

This meme is guaranteed to trigger the privileged tranny class


:hail:
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Feb 9 2020 03:52pm
Quote (Thor123422 @ Feb 9 2020 01:36pm)
obvious multi is obvious


Quite a detective, did your anthropology major not pan out?
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Feb 9 2020 04:13pm
Quote (Tuned_Bale_Hay @ Feb 9 2020 04:52pm)
Quite a detective, did your anthropology major not pan out?


How is the ninja training?
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Feb 9 2020 04:24pm
Quote (Skinned @ Feb 9 2020 02:13pm)
How is the ninja training?


How's your wife's son
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Feb 9 2020 04:34pm
Quote (Tuned_Bale_Hay @ 9 Feb 2020 23:24)
How's your wife's son


Nazique

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Feb 9 2020 05:08pm
Quote (Saucisson6000 @ Feb 9 2020 02:34pm)
Nazique

https://images.theweek.com/sites/default/files/19_28.jpg


Trump loves Jews dumb frog
Worst nazi ever
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Feb 9 2020 05:11pm
Quote (Tuned_Bale_Hay @ 10 Feb 2020 00:08)
Trump loves Jews dumb frog
Worst nazi ever


Trump pic wasn't related to you, only the nazique which is a kind of beautiful animal. You checked Google images.
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Feb 9 2020 05:33pm
Quote (Black XistenZ @ 9 Feb 2020 13:19)
There were 3 consecutive quarters of anemic growth in 2012. Single quarters can always be low for various seasonal or geopolitic reasons, but 2012 had 3 of them in a row.

also, look at this chart showing quarterly non-farm payroll job growth:
https://static.businessinsider.de/image/5d9f5117e94e866b837533e4/new%20nfp%20growth.png

If you add a trendline for 2011-2013 and one for 2013-2016, and one for 2017-now for Trump, then the former will be noticeably lower than the other 2.
source:
https://www.businessinsider.de/international/9-charts-comparing-trump-economy-to-obama-bush-administrations-2019-9/?r=US&IR=T





gig jobs are hard to define, and I'll admit that that I was referencing a Harvard&Princeton study ( see https://www.investing.com/news/economy/nearly-95-of-all-job-growth-during-obama-era-part-time,-contract-work-449057 ) whose findings were walked back 3 years later ( https://edition.cnn.com/2019/01/07/economy/gig-economy-katz-krueger/index.html )

the broader point that the jobs added under obama tended to be on the shittier side still stands though.

for example, from the same businessinsider article linked above, we have this:
https://static.businessinsider.de/image/5d9f5118e94e866b837533e5/wage%20growth.png

there is also
https://thumbor.forbes.com/thumbor/960x0/https%3A%2F%2Fblogs-images.forbes.com%2Fchuckdevore%2Ffiles%2F2019%2F02%2FManufacturing-jobs2-1200x675.jpg
(see https://www.forbes.com/sites/chuckdevore/2019/02/01/manufacturers-added-6-times-more-jobs-under-trump-than-under-obamas-last-2-years/ )



on top, there are several articles referencing this trend.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2019/08/20/trump-v-obama-economy-charts/


They also make the same argument as I did about how sustaining job growth in a mature economic cycle becomes increasingly harder:





Lo and behold.


another article, admittedly from the same author:
https://money.cnn.com/2016/11/04/news/economy/jobs-under-obama/
https://i2.cdn.turner.com/money/dam/assets/161104101407-obama-service-jobs-780x439.jpg



So even if one defines "high-wage" to mean "just above the median", which is ridiculous in and off itself, these "high-wage" jobs still made up a minority of the jobs added under obama.






First, I didnt defend GW Bush or Republicans in general, I was defending Trump. Second, the anemic recovery from the recession, particularly in terms of wages, was a big topic throughout Obama's presidency, as shown by the various articles I linked above. If the WaPo and CNN criticized Obama for it, you can hardly call me a biased partisan for chiming in.

Third, and irrespective of the previous point, I will admit that I was using imprecise and loaded language. I cited the Harvard/Princeton study from 2016 that was suggesting 94% of Obama's job growth were gig jobs without doing further research because it fit my narrative so well. I didnt realize that new research from 2019, three years later, was calling this study into serious doubt. That was sloppy sourcing on my part, shouldnt have happened, and I apologize for it.

Fourth, I am fully aware of the fact that I have a significant partisan bias and am no neutral observer. The truth, however, is that no one is completely neutral and objective. Just like I have a consistent pro-Trump bias, you have a consistent (and equally pronounced) liberal bias.

My goal is to be as objective as possible and to use arguments that I can back up by facts if called out. In my reponse to Thor regarding the discussion about the nature of the jobs added under Obama, I did just that if, but only if, we're looking at the broader picture. I was sloppy on the specifics and used loaded, biased language. In this sense, I failed to fully meet the standard I set out for myself, and for that, I am sorry.


Damn, nice post. Respekt
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