Quote (Pyrotechx @ 10 Aug 2024 08:44)
There is a huge difference between 2016 trump and 2024 trump.
Indeed, but it cuts both ways. Trump is older and more tired now, his shtick has kinda worn off outside of his core supporters. On the other hand, he's no longer race-baiting as flagrantly as he was in 2016. And he has an actual track record, we have a rough idea of how a Trump presidency would play out. Predictions that he's gonna crash the economy or start WW3 no longer hold weight.
The underlying electoral coalitions have also shifted. Many upscale, traditional GOP voters as well as many New England center-left figures gave Trump the benefit of the doubt in 2016, but have since become, or reverted to, reliable Democrats. On the flip side, the embrace of Trump by the religious right is now entrenched and he made significant inroads with working-class minorities who didn't pull the trigger on him in 2016 due to his rhetoric.
Perhaps the biggest factor imho is that Trump has been vindicated in a ton of ways by how the Biden presidency played out. From endless covid restrictions over vaccine mandates to government overspending, inflation, the fight against domestic fossil energy to de facto open borders and countless foreign policy disasters, a lot of the things Trump predicted in case Biden won have all come true. From my personal - obviously very biased - perspective, 2024 is the "I told you so"-election.
Cackling Kamala is just a nuissance in all of this.
This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Aug 10 2024 12:56am