Quote (Black XistenZ @ 7 Nov 2019 09:05)
The IPCC reports themselves dont "listen" to the pure science and incorporate various political interests.
A year or so ago, there was an interview with Jochem Marotzke, the most renowned German climate scientist, who's the head of the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology in Hamburg, has about 300 publications about climate science in peer reviewed journals and who himself was the chief editor of one section of the 2014 IPCC report.
In this interview, he mentioned his own recent research which had shown that the carbon sensitivity of the world climate is probably falling into the lower range of the previous estimated interval, which was relatively broad. He summarized this finding as "it basically means we have 10 more years to decarbonize than we previously thought". Then, he expressed his great surprise when he learnt that these new findings were not included in the summary/key messages of the IPCC report, and that the press releases would instead go in the opposite direction, increase their warnings and sharpen the language compared to the previous report.
In a later part of the interview, he said that "the 1.5° goal is a political decision. For the climate in Europe and most other places, the difference between a 1.5° world and a 2° world are miniscule. I suspect that the panel went for the stronger 1.5° goal at the pressure from the numerous West Pacific island states for which this difference is important."
Unfortunately, the article is in German language and behind a paywall, I'll link it anyway:
https://www.spiegel.de/plus/klimawandel-galgenfrist-verlaengert-a-00000000-0002-0001-0000-000159786817Note that I'm not saying that these examples of political influence on the recommendations and summaries in the IPCC report(s) completely delegitimize them. But they give reason to be cautious.
of course you would go there. it's an increasingly popular talking point amongst the more deceptive 'sceptics' and appeasers, refering to certain newer studies, or scientists supporting slightly different models and predictions (
exclusively those that have less severe predictions of course, not a single time have i seen research quoted by you people that comes to even bleaker conclusions than the consensus declaration by the IPCC - and there is plenty of that), in order to suggest that it's somehow unscientific, alarmist, or politicised (unlike your denier / appeaser side, right? i mean it's not like the fossil fuel industry spent billions to deliberately misinform the public, and it's not like they heavily invested into the politicians that are pushing the completely partisan 'unjustified hysteria' narrative, while at the same time approving the borderline insane
subsidies for fossil fuel they still receive -
billions of taxpayer money each year to some of the most lucrative businesses in the world).
but even if i granted you all that - the rhetoric around climate change is too 'hysteric' (for what, for you to take the issue seriously, to think clearly? you have no problem with immigration hysteria, so why is it such a big deal concerning something that even you allegedly acknowledge as a real threat?), and the time we have is longer (right, let's just act like we weren't already facing immense drawbacks of climate change, and all we can do is trying to limit the extent of how much worse it will inevitably get) -
what about what's actually being done is 'hysteric' and unreasonable, and which measures would you support, which politicians have environmental policies that you consider adequate? what about politicians still approving of fossil fuel subsidies? what about leaving international global warming initiatives? what about mass repealing of environmental protection laws and regulations for fossil fuel? while you engage in appeasement rhetoric, politicians are actively working AGAINST what you pretend to actually support, if it weren't for those 'hysteric' activists...
This post was edited by fender on Nov 7 2019 02:47am