Quote (IceMage @ 8 Oct 2019 20:37)
Elizabeth Warren is neck and neck with Biden as the front runner, and if Bernie drops out, she'll receive a higher percentage of votes from his supporters than Biden will. She's most definitely not neoliberal. Trump represents the tax cutting, deregulation cutting, sloppy trade conflicting, immigration smearing fake populism. Warren represents a more genuine populism.
Also, it's not even necessary for Democrats to move. Hillary lost in a fluke of FBI and Russian interference. I understand Trump supporters want the Democrats to move closer to their own positions, the Democrats said the same thing post-2012 about Republicans. Wishful thinking.
Quote (IceMage @ 8 Oct 2019 21:01)
That just helps my argument. She had decades of baggage, was the most hated politician in America outside of Trump, and she still barely lost. Democrats don't need to change at all.
Those are interesting arguments, and they make sense. I still disagree with your conclusion that the Dems will win if they just dont change, for the following reasons:
- First, the Dems had an unprecedented 2-to-1 fundraising advantage in 2016. They wont in 2020. Trump has a lot more time to collect money while the Dem candidates are still busy with their primary. He delivered massive tax cuts that corporate america loved, and despite all the apocalyptic predictions, the world has not ended under his watch. Some Democratic donors from Wall Street have already hinted that they might sit out this election if Warren (or Bernie) become the nominee, or might even support Trump over them. Furthermore, the Dems will have to waste a lot of their money during a cutthroat primary while Trump can balloon his war chest.
- Second, the Democrats are no longer where they were in 2016. They have already moved substantially to the left since then, and there's no real way back if you ask me. Imho, their positions in 2016 were just about as liberal as you can position yourself while still being feasible in America. Since then, they have adopted an agenda of tax hikes, oppression olympics, open borders, kicking 180m+ americans off their current healthcare plans, taxpayer funded late-term abortions, reparations for slavery, and so on and on.
- Third, in 2016, cultural, intellectual, political and media elites were backing one candidate over the other to an unprecedented degree, and they still couldnt pull it off. Since then, the influence of these elites on Trump's base and swing voters surely hasnt increased.
- Fourth, in 2016, the Trump campaign was a chaotic, improvised trainwreck from start to finish. This time around, he will have much more time to plan it out and his campaign will be run a lot more professionally.
This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Oct 8 2019 03:10pm