Quote (fender @ Jan 6 2020 05:07pm)
pretty sure no one in iran is happy with the crippling sanctions imposed on them by america, or the fact that practically every political, religious, or military leader is just a tweet away from being assassinated.
as much as i hate the prospect of even more shitty regimes having access to nuclear weapons, i can certainly understand the rationale behind iran's desire to have them. considering america's history and presence in the region, only mutually assured destruction seems to be an effective deterrent. they don't seem to care about treaties or democratically elected leaders.
for those wondering how iran became a shitty authoritarian theocracy, maybe a little history lesson could help. i'd suggest starting in 1953...
I think Iran is making the foolish calculation that if they follow North Korea's lead they'll get the same result. the Hedgehog approach, no one fears a hedgehog, but no one approaches it either.
however, North Korea has less natural resources by most estimates, has a massive amount of conventional artillery pointed at the south, has Chinese backing on their only other border, is within concievable range of American friendly targets or america itself, etc.
Whereas Iran has far more points of entry, less conventional artillery, and close neighbors that dont have the same backing mentality China has towards NK. They can't get a nuke to us or a Japan-esque target other than Israel. with whom they share a massive number of holy religious sites. and Israel may be able to shoot down a nuke that they launch, not enough is known to say what would even happen.
I don't see a nuke as the same sort of deterrant to war that North Korea has.