Quote (Black XistenZ @ 6 Nov 2020 14:11)
The tipping point state in this election will probably be neither Pennsylvania nor Georgia, it will be Wisconsin or Arizona with a Biden winning margin of 0.6% or so. Even if he sweeps the uncalled states and ends up with a 306-232 edge in the EC, his mandate from the presidential election will not be any bigger than Trump's was in 2016. On top of that, Trump's party overperformed in the senate and house and won a trifecta back in 2016, while Democrats underperformed in both chambers this year. Voters will most definitely deny them the trifecta they had been longing for.
I dont worry about that too much. Trump was underperforming the GOP senate candidates in Georgia, Biden only beat him by 0.05% or so. In both Senate elections, the Republican candidates received more votes than the Democrats. Historically, Democrats have always done horribly in Georgia runoffs. The Dem coalition in the state contains more low propensity voters. And with control of the Senate, and thus a trifecta, on the table, Republicans will have a much easier time motivating their base to show up on a January night for this election than Democrats. Particularly since ousting Trump was far and away the primary motivation of a lot Dem voters; with him gone, their energy will drop off badly.
By the way: even with a 50:50 Senate, Democrats would not be able to get their power grabs through. Go nuclear, abolish the filibuster, add states - and do all of that with zero room for defections and relying on VP Harris to break the tie? Not gonna happen. Particularly not after an election where they underperformed despite throwing unprecedented amounts of money at the races, in an environment where the cards were stacked in their favor; and with Biden limping over the finish line by what will end up a less than 1% winning margin in the tipping point state.
do you think they care about all this? the goal was to 'beat trump' at all costs and if that ends up happening they won't let optics hold them back from their agenda. (D)s do not step 'out of line' unless they have room to.
they passed the free affordable universal healthcare act in the middle of the night during a holiday. they don't care