Quote (IceMage @ 13 Nov 2024 15:59)
Trump won the popular vote by less of a percentage than Hillary did in 2016.
An interesting data point which was illustrated in the NY Times in an article from 2019 is that when we go down to the most granular voting data available, the precinct level, then one will see that a majority of Americans in 2016 lived in precincts won by Trump. Or, in other words: Hillary's popular vote win was based entirely on running up stalinesque margins in a few blue enclaves while Trump enjoyed the broader support across the country.
Needless to say that if Trump won a precinct-level majority in 2016 on 46% of the popular vote, he will easily have done the same in 2024 on 50% of the vote.
Source:
https://www.nytimes.com/2019/05/21/upshot/america-political-divide-urban-rural.htmlQuote (IceMage @ 13 Nov 2024 16:11)
There's several Democratic senate candidates who won, and performed much better than Kamala did.
Those Senate Democrats were incumbents running against lesser-known challengers. Also, the further downballot we look, the more lopsided the funding advantage of Democrats became. In many contested Senate and House races, Democrats outraised Republicans by a factor of 3:1 or more. Interestingly, the GOP won the one Senate race in which its candidate was individually wealthy and massively self-funding (McCormick in PA).
The fact that Trump ran ahead of downballot Republicans in 2024 while he ran behind them in 2016 also makes perfect sense in the light of the coalitional shifts.
This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Nov 23 2024 05:40am
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