Quote (ofthevoid @ 19 Aug 2019 05:08)
You would think.
Yet he chooses to talk about how Trump will loose, centrists win and the immigration issues will go away. Everyone is entitled to an opinion but to have this written in a reputable news platform is lol.
e: 5 sentences is still a bit much. One run-on sentence would be enough
the between the lines tldr is that political gridlock will continue no matter what, and that even a recession wont really break it up.
in case of a recession, trump loses, the democratic government gets little actual legislation done because of the senate, and centrists make a comeback without getting too much done either.
if trump wins reelection because the economy holds on long enough, the trend of the suburbs, and the House with them, drifting away from the GOP will continue and trump wont get much done either.
also, saying that the immigration issue will go away is kinda ridiculous. yes, the pressure on the southern border would wane during the worst months of the recession, but in the long run, this issue is going nowhere. the U.S., just like its fellow countries of the Western world, still avoids openly debating the true underlying questions of the migration issue: which levels of immigration do we want, which kinds of immigrants do we want, how can we enforce this, how high or low do we prioritize self-interest versus humanitarian concerns? currently, the debate is still stuck at "orange man bad/voters of orange man racist" vs "brown people bad/opponents of orange man crazy".
equally wrong is Douthat's take on Uber and others: in a recession, with unemployment surging, gig economy jobs like Uber driver will see a boom (and plummeting wages...)
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