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Apr 2 2020 04:45pm
Quote (InsaneBobb @ Apr 2 2020 03:28pm)
At a guess I would state that there's no way to halt the spread of the infection. And this is part of my point, and thank you for making it for me.

The nature of the virus equals "lethal cold". We haven't managed to stop the common cold or even slow it down, ever, due to it's inherent nature. This IS a cold. Just with a lethality rate.

Thus, I would posit that the only solution is to end the partial martial law that has been imposed, allow it to run it's course, but not stop trying to develop vaccines.

The virus was "discovered" in December. Given incubation times, that means by New Years, it was likely a player on the world stage. Most nations had their first confirmed case sometime in January. That indicates to me that the spread was already so wide before ANY nation addressed that it was an issue (besides China) that "preventing the infection" was already an improbability, if not an outright impossibility.



Oddly I haven't seen anything from Fox News fro close to a year. You're repeating Vox talking points. Therefore it's logical to assume that you're every bit as braindead as they are. If you'd like to correct the record with who IS melting your brain, feel free. Perhaps The Young Turks? Al Jazira? Mother Jones?


Please enlighten me where you get you science denying facts. You are the one that can't support your points. I have no need to keep stating points to have you just play your version of "fake news" your game is old been tried by 1k's of trump supporters.
you prove your point.. You keep claiming things that I'm not even saying.. must be getting emo
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Apr 2 2020 04:52pm
Quote (InsaneBobb @ Apr 2 2020 06:44pm)
In general, Coronaviruses are more contagious than the Flu, so I would not doubt this. Add to the fact that 30% of the global population isn't getting vaccines from it, and it makes a lot of sense.

Which makes the reported caseload appear to be so very much lower than what actually exists, that it nullifies mortality estimates, and therefore nearly all predictive models, correct?


It doesn't nullify South Korea's mortality estimate, as you probably remember me pointing out earlier in this thread

I don't draw any conclusions from any other country's mortality rate. Their data is sorely incomplete. I just know that the mortality rate for the US is going to be at least equal to SK's, surely higher. That's assuming we don't have any major breakthroughs that drastically change our trajectory. We can take SK's mortality as our basement and then speculate up from there.

This post was edited by Kayeto on Apr 2 2020 04:52pm
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Apr 2 2020 04:56pm
Quote (Kayeto @ Apr 2 2020 03:52pm)
It doesn't nullify South Korea's mortality estimate, as you probably remember me pointing out earlier in this thread

I don't draw any conclusions from any other country's mortality rate. Their data is sorely incomplete. I just know that the mortality rate for the US is going to be at least equal to SK's, surely higher. That's assuming we don't have any major breakthroughs that drastically change our trajectory. We can take SK's mortality as our basement and then speculate up from there.


I reviewed that, and I see no indication that the entire population has been tested. I'm waiting for more data, so regarding that particular information, I thank you for it again, and I'm watching with great interest.

The most data I see are from some place I don't know the name of and Iceland, regarding actual testing information, as well as death breakdown. Unfortunately it's the country I'm unfamiliar with and don't read the language of that is the most detailed, and google failed to translate it.
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Apr 2 2020 05:04pm
Quote (InsaneBobb @ Apr 2 2020 06:56pm)
I reviewed that, and I see no indication that the entire population has been tested. I'm waiting for more data, so regarding that particular information, I thank you for it again, and I'm watching with great interest.

The most data I see are from some place I don't know the name of and Iceland, regarding actual testing information, as well as death breakdown. Unfortunately it's the country I'm unfamiliar with and don't read the language of that is the most detailed, and google failed to translate it.


https://www.wired.co.uk/article/south-korea-coronavirus
Quote
The backbone of Korea’s success has been mass, indiscriminate testing, followed by rigorous contact tracing and the quarantine of anyone the carrier has come into contact with.


The fact that they tested, isolated and traced contacts meant that the virus never made its way throughout the population. No other country will be able to replicate the wide net of tests they pulled off. Their data is the most reliable brand of data that will exist in the practical world.

If anyone doesn't like that data, then they will never like any data the world has to offer. That philosophy would be consistent with the sentiment behind your posts here.

This post was edited by Kayeto on Apr 2 2020 05:06pm
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Apr 2 2020 05:10pm
Quote (Kayeto @ Apr 2 2020 04:04pm)
https://www.wired.co.uk/article/south-korea-coronavirus


The fact that they tested, isolated and traced contacts meant that the virus never made its way throughout the population. No other country will be able to replicate the wide net of tests they pulled off. Their data is the most reliable brand of data that will exist in the practical world.

If anyone doesn't like that data, then they will never like any data the world has to offer. That philosophy would be consistent with the sentiment behind your posts here.


I agree with everything you're saying. I'm merely pointing out that from all the information they have provided, it appears the bulk of their population has not been tested.

I'm not trying to be difficult in any way, merely pointing out that if a cold is just a cold in most cases, then how do you know to test the cold?

Also, I'm still shocked they went with a martial approach to it. Thumbs up to them for being tolerant enough to even consider it.
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Apr 2 2020 05:31pm
Quote (InsaneBobb @ Apr 2 2020 07:10pm)
I agree with everything you're saying. I'm merely pointing out that from all the information they have provided, it appears the bulk of their population has not been tested.


That does not reduce how meaningful the data is.

They didn't test the indigenous tribes of Brazil either: they only tested the people that were part of the contact chain. That allows to the data to be as meaningful as is practically possible.

This post was edited by Kayeto on Apr 2 2020 05:32pm
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Apr 2 2020 06:21pm
Quote (Hecht55 @ Apr 3 2020 03:36am)
Quote (balrog66 @ Apr 3 2020 03:35am)
There's a very large difference between a Western butcher shop and a Chinese wet market.

Cross-contamination between species being the main culprit.


You think western butchers don't fail to practice safe food handling?


so much of what is happening is because westerners, americans in particular seem to think theyre the master race.

before this got out of hand i recall so many americans saying that the country was prepared for this, that their superior healthcare system would provide, that clean tap water would halt the spread, that their manners and general civility (LOL) wouldnt allow for the virus to spread.

well look how that turned out.


aside from the unavailability of bats and muskrats at the butcher, there's hardly any difference between a wildlife butcher and an ordinary run-of-the-mill butcher in the states.
america is really not that different.
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Apr 2 2020 06:29pm
Quote (KungPeriodFu @ Apr 2 2020 08:21pm)
so much of what is happening is because westerners, americans in particular seem to think theyre the master race.

before this got out of hand i recall so many americans saying that the country was prepared for this, that their superior healthcare system would provide, that clean tap water would halt the spread, that their manners and general civility (LOL) wouldnt allow for the virus to spread.

well look how that turned out.


aside from the unavailability of bats and muskrats at the butcher, there's hardly any difference between a wildlife butcher and an ordinary run-of-the-mill butcher in the states.
america is really not that different.


The difference is OSHA and the FDA.

Those administrations aren't perfect, but they represent a huge gap between the US and China.
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Apr 2 2020 06:30pm
Quote (ofthevoid @ Apr 2 2020 04:06pm)
You said 3rd world people eat that food because 'it's what's available to them' implying that it's out of necessity or poverty. That's not true. In 2020, the overwhelming majority of Chinese people are not going hungry and have ample food. So no they don't eat bats or mice because it's whats available, they do it because it's a cultural taste preference kind of like bugs in SE Asia, or blood sausage in South American countries.



I said 3rd world because you did.

There's nothing wrong with eating weird shit if it's properly prepared. I'm not understanding what you're getting at with the weird to you hecause it's not your culture food thing. What does it matter if any race of people eat bat rat or cat soup? Just because it's wrong to one nation doesn't make it wromg to another.

Different cultures eat all kinds of shit that would upset you, what's your point?
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Apr 2 2020 06:31pm
Quote (KungPeriodFu @ Apr 2 2020 05:21pm)
so much of what is happening is because westerners, americans in particular seem to think theyre the master race.

before this got out of hand i recall so many americans saying that the country was prepared for this, that their superior healthcare system would provide, that clean tap water would halt the spread, that their manners and general civility (LOL) wouldnt allow for the virus to spread.

well look how that turned out.


aside from the unavailability of bats and muskrats at the butcher, there's hardly any difference between a wildlife butcher and an ordinary run-of-the-mill butcher in the states.
america is really not that different.


This is nothing but hyperbole. This got out of hand early January. Very few westerners were saying they "could handle it". There's been global concern ever since it became clear there should be, which was already too late to do anything.

The disinfectant standards in western nations when it comes to meat butchering and preparation and serving is many times higher than those in third world countries. To say there is "no difference" is asinine. It CAN be argued that due to growing up to these lower standards, the immune systems of those in third world countries might be stronger, and that could be true.

That being said, I'm not going to drink lake water without boiling or even distilling it first. Why? Because I know the odds of introducing myself to potentially lethal pathogens is much lower doing it the western way.

Stop trying to blame everyone else. The virus did not originate in the west. Western standards are not at fault. And no matter what standards the west attempts to uphold, we aren't magic. All we can do is our best to understand the issue and correct it in as timely of a manner as possible.
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