Quote (Ghot @ Aug 26 2018 04:07pm)

Early life and family

Rafael Edward Cruz was born on December 22, 1970,[2][3] at Foothills Medical Centre[4][5] in Calgary, Alberta, to parents Eleanor Elizabeth (née Darragh) Wilson and Rafael Cruz.[6][7][8][9] Eleanor Wilson was born in Wilmington, Delaware. Wilson is of three-quarters Irish and one-quarter Italian descent, and she earned an undergraduate degree in mathematics from Rice University in the 1950s.[10]

Cruz's father, Rafael Cruz, was born and raised in Cuba. He left Cuba in 1957 to attend the University of Texas at Austin and obtained political asylum in the U.S. after his four-year student visa expired.[11] Rafael Cruz earned Canadian citizenship in 1973[4] and became a naturalized U.S. citizen in 2005.[8][12][13]

At the time of his birth, Ted Cruz's parents had lived in Calgary for three years and were working in the oil business as owners of a seismic-data processing firm for oil drilling.[8][14][15][16][17] Cruz has stated that he is the son of "two mathematicians/computer programmers."[18] In 1974, Rafael Cruz left the family and moved to Texas.[19] Later that year, Eleanor and Rafael Cruz reconciled and relocated the family to Houston.[4] Eleanor and Rafael Cruz divorced in 1997.[20] Ted Cruz has two older half-sisters, Miriam Ceferina Cruz and Roxana Lourdes Cruz, from his father's first marriage. Miriam died in 2011

Quote (Beowulf @ Aug 26 2018 10:08pm)

please

go on

Quote (ThatAlex @ 27 Aug 2018 04:06)

In the most recent Senatorial election in Texas, John Cornyn won by 27.2 points. Abbot won the governor's race by 20.4 points, and he wasn't an incumbent.

In a state-wide, non-presidential election, I suspect the GOP to be at least at the upper end of your range (16) in this state, and maybe higher.

People just don't like Ted Cruz much, even here. He'll win because he is not the Democrat. I'm guessing he will win by 8 points or so. I think the polling favors Democrats. Polling doesn't fully account for the fact that Democrats aren't reliable voters.

Quote (ThatAlex @ Aug 26 2018 07:41pm)

And that's why he only has a 4-6 point lead over a Democrat in Texas.

Quote

Boston, MA (August 27, 2018) --- A new Emerson College e-Poll finds the US Senate race neck and neck with Senator Ted Cruz at 38% and US Rep Beto O’Rourke at 37%; 4% are voting for someone else and 21% were undecided

Quote (Black XistenZ @ 26 Aug 2018 22:14)

Trump only won Texas by 9% in 2016, but I guess he also was rather unpopular. But then again, Romney defeated Obama by "just" 16% in 2012. Even back in 2000, in a neutral national environment, Bush won his home state of Texas by "only" 22%. Subtract the home state factor, and it was only R+16 or so even back then. And due to heavy latino immigration and internal migration into the big cities, Texas has probably become more purple since then.

Quote (ThatAlex @ Aug 27 2018 10:23am)

True, good point. Your 12-16 point range is probably correct.

There are talks about Texas becoming purple, but I think we are pretty far from that. There is an increasing Hispanic population in this state, but a sizeable amount of them are actually Conservative. 34% of Texas Hispanics voted for Trump, and it's not uncommon for Republicans in this state to get 40-50%+ from Hispanics when the candidate isn't as abrasive with their community as Trump.

But not only do the margins leave something to be desired for Democrats, Hispanics also participate in elections less than Whites and Blacks. There's also low voter turnout in Texas in general, which disproportionately hurts Democrats. Lastly, Republicans have also had a vicegrip on the state on the local, state, and federal levels for decades, which can't be discounted.

All this to say that I think the talks of Texas turning purple are a little premature. It certainly is trending that way, but it probably won't be in true contention until at least another two decades by my estimates.

Quote (ThatAlex @ 27 Aug 2018 19:23)

True, good point. Your 12-16 point range is probably correct.

There are talks about Texas becoming purple, but I think we are pretty far from that. There is an increasing Hispanic population in this state, but a sizeable amount of them are actually Conservative. 34% of Texas Hispanics voted for Trump, and it's not uncommon for Republicans in this state to get 40-50%+ from Hispanics when the candidate isn't as abrasive with their community as Trump.

But not only do the margins leave something to be desired for Democrats, Hispanics also participate in elections less than Whites and Blacks. There's also low voter turnout in Texas in general, which disproportionately hurts Democrats. Lastly, Republicans have also had a vicegrip on the state on the local, state, and federal levels for decades, which can't be discounted.

All this to say that I think the talks of Texas turning purple are a little premature. It certainly is trending that way, but it probably won't be in true contention until at least another two decades by my estimates.

Quote

(Reuters) - A federal court ruled on Monday that North Carolina Republicans illegally drew up U.S. congressional districts in the state to benefit their party, suggesting that new lines be crafted before November’s election.

Quote

In June, the U.S. Supreme Court threw out a lower court ruling that Republicans drew the boundaries to ensure electoral victories for their party.

But the justices sent the case back to the federal three-judge panel to reconsider whether the plaintiffs, including a group of Democratic voters, had the necessary legal standing to sue in the case.

Quote (Ghot @ Aug 27 2018 09:09pm)

U.S. court says North Carolina gerrymander is illegal, seeks new congressional map

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-north-carolina-districts-court/u-s-court-says-north-carolina-gerrymander-is-illegal-seeks-new-congressional-map-idUSKCN1LD026

Trying to get some skullduggery accomplished before the Supreme Court returns. Typical Democrat shyt.

Quote (EndlessSky @ Aug 27 2018 09:22pm)

Somehow this legal activity is considered illegal

Meanwhile, the Demoshits also expect us to faslely believe that illegal immigration isn't deadly, dangerous, and illegal.