
Centre-right: 263 seats
M5S: 223 seats
Centre-left: 118 seats
LeU: 14 seats
It seems like there are 4 minimally realistic possibilities with these results, but all of them are far from happening atm:
1. Lega ditches the centre-right coallition and joins M5S. Both parties are eurosceptic, and it's the most simple solution based on pure parliamentary arithmetics, but it's unlikely because both Lega Nord and M5S want to lead the government, and because the leader of Lega has already said they want to remain in the centre-right coallition. Also, Lega Nord is a pretty racist/classist party based on the north of Italy, that hates the souther half and considers them to be uneducated lazy bums, while M5S got most of their votes in the southern half of the country (so it wouldn't be a good strategic move to ignore their interests).
2. The centre-left coallition supports M5S. This was unthinkable since Renzi, leader of the main centre-left party (PD) was adamantly against siding with any sort of populists, but now Renzi is gone, so it could happen. It's still very complicated, as the majority of people in the centre-left coallition have a strong pro-EU sentiment.
3. Either the centre-right coallition or M5S recruit MPs from other parties, until they have enough for a majority. While this might sound bizarre in most countries, it is not the case in Italy, where switching sides is common practice. During the last cycle, a whopping 36% of members of either congress or the senate switched party.
4. The centre-left and centre-right coallitions form a short lived great coallition with the sole purpose of changing the electoral law, in order to prevent such a hung parliament from happening again. I really don't see this happening, but could be some last resort scenario.
Quote (Leevee @ 5 Mar 2018 17:19)
#itexit?
Nah. Even though M5S is eurosceptic, they are not "anti-EU". They are anti-establishment and advocate for transparent direct democracy, so they hate all the bureaucracy and opaqueness involved in the EU, as well as the EU's immigration and refugee policies. They dislike a lot of things in the EU, but they aren't a "leave party". Lega on the other hand is a different story. But over all, the population would likely not support an itexit.