Quote (Goomshill @ Mar 11 2022 09:07am)
Do you really think Russia has no self-interested reasons for curtailing NATO expansion, when removed from any greater designs for an empire? More to the point, opposing an empire.
I don't think its hard to see Russia's reasons for wanting to push back against western encroachment on his borders. Decades of NATO expanding eastward until it reached the borders of Russia proper. The most deeply intertwined country with Russian history, its breadbasket and host to much of the soviet remnant, seized in a coup d'etat by pro-western forces. And Russia has no reason to react forcefully? This is the kind of geopolitical game that's played out thousands of times throughout history, in kingdoms and empires and city-states. When all we do is demonize Putin and blame his megalomania, we're blinding ourselves to his motivations, hamstringing our ability to respond intelligently. Putin carefully planned out his response, he reinforced his economic position, eliminated Ukraine's pipeline transit leverage, and even appeased China's wish to smooth over the olympics. He's playing that game and knows the players and their motives, we're playing fifty two card pickup.
Regime protection, but we aren't inclined to look on that favorably. A sphere of influence is beneficial to Russia economically, and it provides regime security both in bolstering national pride (and thereby support for the regime), and by providing buffer authoritarian regimes that distract the Russian population from what their government functionally is. It's hard work being the only poor, authoritarian Soviet state. It's much easier if Russia is relatively affluent, and has similarly authoritarian regimes in Belarus and Ukraine.
The difference is between understanding why Putin is acting the way he is, and letting him do it. We understand why the DPRK doesn't want ROK / US collaboration, but whether we want to continue with that collaboration is a separate consideration. The United States wants more Western-aligned states. That's good for the United States, and its good for the countries involved. Romania has a higher GDP (PPP) per capita than Russia does at this point. Poland and the Baltics are far more prosperous. Western-orientation is economically beneficial for the smaller countries in Russia's periphery. Whether we want to cast them off, to their detriment and ours, to appease Russia is a consideration we need to make, and which we have.