Quote (Goomshill @ Aug 16 2021 06:03am)
The Taliban taking control when the US left was inevitable. Everything else wasn't. We could have easily staged a clean exit, disarmed the ANA, withdrew westerners in an orderly fashion and closed up shop before the Taliban arrived at Kabul.
There was never any plausible scenario that resembled the fiction we kept being sold, that the ANA would somehow hold the Taliban in check and Afghan government would continue to exist. None of that made a lick of sense and we knew it.
The takeaway won't be a politician ending a bitter war, it will be a commander fucking up a retreat in an embarrassing rout. It was an exit without a strategy, a complete and utter failure of leadership.
2022 won't be a debate stage, it will be this footage played on every TV in America during ad time.
Disarming the Afghans before leaving, ahead of a Taliban takeover, is probably worse optics than the inevitable videos of the Taliban using our equipment.
Again, Americans don't care that much about Afghanistan, they wanted out, and I think in 2024 it's pretty easy for Biden to counter the criticism. He could honestly just parrot what Trump has said about the conflict and pulling out, and it would go okay.
I suppose a midterm message which included this failure of leadership makes sense, but as a standalone message it's weaksauce.