Quote (Surfpunk @ Nov 3 2020 07:41pm)
I don't know if you can truly compare enthusiasm based on event turnouts, in the age of COVID. The demographic that supports reopening the country and getting back to business as usual skews heavily to Trump's side. You also have to consider how much of the attendance at these rallies was already going to vote for Trump, vs undecided voters, or even Democratic converts. I haven't seen any data on this (doesn't mean that data doesn't exist, just that I haven't seen it).
I can't really disagree with anything you said, it all logically makes sense. But this level of enthusiasm just isn't normal, and has never occurred in the history of the country. The gap is far too big for Trump to be as big of an underdog as the polls were saying a couple weeks ago, which is one reason the pollsters are panicking and starting to even out their numbers today so they can maintain some shred of credibility if Trump wins. WRT to COVID, you're right it's become a somewhat partisan issue. Dems played it up all election season, which results in many of their supporters being reluctant to attend rallies or vote in person. Trump recovered from COVID in a few days and since then has had a message of not fearing COVID, which results in his supporters being more likely to attend rallies and vote in person. The numbers clearly support this if you look at % of mail-in / early votes compared to % of on election day in-person votes for both parties.
This post was edited by EA7 on Nov 3 2020 11:46am