Quote (EA7 @ Nov 11 2016 09:50am)
It's naive to think the pollsters REALLY had no clue at all what was going on.
It's way more realistic that they KNEW Trump had a good chance but lied about it to try to discourage Trump voters and prop up Hillary.
ABC released a poll showing Hillary +12 just a couple of days before the election. They basically predicted a landslide. They were correct, the election was a landslide, but not for HRC.
These pollsters would oversample Democrats by massive margins, would flat out ignore half the people they polled who said they were voting Trump, and would basically reverse-engineer their polls to show Hillary was winning.
They should be ashamed of themselves.
What was terribly unaccounted for was the Chocolate-Monster and Cinnamon-Monster vote. Everyone was talking about how the polling was failing to capture the vanilla monster vote of white men who wouldn't admit they were voting for trump for fear of being seen as racist.
How wrong were they when it turns out thats its blacks and hispanics that turned out for trump in groundbreaking numbers, but polling abysmally before the election
Why? Because rednecks and suburbian whites had nothing to lose by saying they were voting trump, but blacks and hispanics had *immense* community pressure on them that silenced them. How courageous would a black man have to be to say he's voting trump while living in a black neighborhood? He's asking to get retaliated against. These are the people who were most hidden underground by the democratic hate machine and they swung this election