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Nov 21 2009 12:39pm
Quote (tric-isHUGE @ 21 Nov 2009 14:38)
I've only read through Denninger's and Mish's blogs on the findings.


There's this one bay where I heard you can pirate a complete copy of the files.
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Nov 21 2009 12:40pm
Quote (AiNedeSpelCzech @ Nov 21 2009 02:37pm)
Got anything specific to actually add, other than rage?

I'm just curious, it'd be nice to actually have some education up in here rather than specifics from deniers and rage from supporters.


I'm on meds and I have cheeks the size of baseballs. I am a crotchety old man right now.

Anyone here ever prepare quarterly sales reports? Apply some of that knowledge to these.
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Nov 21 2009 12:41pm
Quote (tric-isHUGE @ Nov 21 2009 11:34am)
There's alot more there than a few emails, retard.


1. I've only seen a few so far that even the most talented conspiracy theorists (think Datajunky) could work with.
2. I have yet to see the headers on any of them.
3. If you got more on these emails/files, hook us up!
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Nov 21 2009 12:46pm
Quote (Azrad @ 21 Nov 2009 14:41)
1. I've only seen a few so far that even the most talented conspiracy theorists (think Datajunky) could work with.
2. I have yet to see the headers on any of them.
3. If you got more on these emails/files, hook us up!


I mentioned above where you can get every single one of the e-mails. The headers are totally legit, for sure. Here's a random mail that I just happened to have open as I'm cruising through them one by one:

Quote
From: Alan Robock <alan@atmos.umd.edu>
To: Phil Jones <p.jones@uea.ac.uk>
Subject: Re: your mail
Date: Thu, 11 Jul 1996 10:07:13 -0400 (EDT)

Dear Phil,

It looks like you have found Baitoushan.  Vol. 2 lists Kuwae as VEI 6 in
1452 +/- 10 AD.  How accurate are your dates?  By the way, Chris Newhall
thinks 1600 is the Parker volcano on Mindanao in the Philippines.  He
hasn't published that so far, as I know.

Could you please define "utter prat" for me?  Sometimes I think we speak
the same language, and sometimes I'm not so sure.


I'm doing fine.  We have a new building with nice new offices.  I'm going
to Australia next week with Sherri and Danny, and after the meeting, will
visit Cairns, Adelaide, and New Zealand.  I'm looking forward to skiing
on a volcano, if it stops erupting.

Alan

Prof. Alan Robock                                    Phone: (301) 405-5377
Department of Meteorology                              Fax: (301) 314-9482
University of Maryland                            Email: alan@atmos.umd.edu
College Park, MD  20742                      http://www.meto.umd.edu/~alan


I lol'd@bold
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Nov 21 2009 12:49pm
Raw data were NOT secretly destroyed to avoid efforts by other scientists to replicate the CRU and Hadley Centre-based estimates of global-scale changes in near-surface temperature. In fact, a key point here is that other groups — primarily at the NCDC [NOAA National Climatic Data Center] and at GISS [NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies], but also in Russia — WERE able to replicate the major findings of the CRU and UK Hadley Centre groups. The NCDC and GISS groups performed this replication completely independently.


Let me add, just to debunk this bullshit denier craze in one fell swoop:

They were measuring tree ring data. Tree rings contain anomalies (like knots, etc.) that have to be smoothed out in order to come up with the most accurate plot point on the chart possible. So fucking what if a little piece of a tree ring indicates the temperature fell during winter? The whole year has to be accounted for.

Furthermore, they had to add the real data from years 1960 onwards to the plots they created from measuring the tree rings in order to compare plots. Once this is done, the plots are averaged and a line is created showing the warming trend.


Suck it, deniers.


This post was edited by inkanddagger on Nov 21 2009 12:54pm
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Nov 21 2009 12:51pm
Quote (AiNedeSpelCzech @ Nov 21 2009 11:46am)
I mentioned above where you can get every single one of the e-mails.  The headers are totally legit, for sure.  Here's a random mail that I just happened to have open as I'm cruising through them one by one:



LOL i didn't get your reference to the website in question until I read it twice. Ok thanks (think i need some coffee!). While I'd like to accept your word on the headers, I'd like to see them for myself. Thanks for the tip though, I'll get a copy of the files hopefully.

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Nov 21 2009 12:57pm
Quote (Azrad @ 21 Nov 2009 14:51)
LOL i didn't get your reference to the website in question until I read it twice. Ok thanks (think i need some coffee!). While I'd like to accept your word on the headers, I'd like to see them for myself. Thanks for the tip though, I'll get a copy of the files hopefully.


It's worth the check, imo. :D I'm enjoying it, even though it's insanely boring. :P
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Nov 21 2009 01:00pm
And Finally:



You can see that each measurement (one is ice core data, one is tree ring data, one is actual recorded data) still follows a similar warming trend - across three unrelated organizations, including the one the deniers are attempting to use to "disprove GW". They have to naturalize these lines in order to figure out a real mean average.

You guys ever take math?

This post was edited by inkanddagger on Nov 21 2009 01:01pm
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Nov 21 2009 01:05pm
Very first one I opened (at random) filename 0926947295.txt if you have the torrent

No headers (I've looked a several now, none of them have headers, but I'm pretty sure they are legit anyway, curious that a hacker would steal email then removed the header...atypical for the community, but this is just a side note).


this email seems to be saying to me that they are bending over backwards to try to give an honest analysis of the situation, rather in conflict with the OP here

Quote

From: Dave Schimel <schimel@cgd.ucar.edu>
To: Shrikant Jagtap <sjagtap@agen.ufl.edu>
Subject: RE: CO2
Date: Mon, 17 May 1999 09:21:35 -0600 (MDT)
Cc: franci <franci@giss.nasa.gov>, Benjamin Felzer <felzer@ucar.edu>, Mike Hulme <m.hulme@uea.ac.uk>, schimel@ucar.edu, wigley@ucar.edu, kittel@ucar.edu, nanr@ucar.edu, Mike MacCracken <mmaccrac@usgcrp.gov>

I want to make one thing really clear.  We ARE NOT supposed to be working
with the assumption that these scenarios are realistic.  They are
scenarios-internally consistent (or so we thought) what-if storylines.
You are in fact out of line to assume that these are in some sense
realistic-this is in direct contradiction to the guidance on scenarios
provided by the synthesis team.


If you want to do 'realistic CO2 effects studies, you must do sensitivity
analyses bracketing possible trajectories.  We do not and cannot not and
must not prejudge what realistic CO2 trajectories are, as they are
ultimatley a political decision
(except in the sense that reserves and
resources provide an upper bound).

'Advice' will be based on a mix of different approaches that must reflect
the fact that we do not have high coinfidence in GHG projections nor full
confidence in climate ystem model projections of consequences.


Dave
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Nov 21 2009 01:11pm
Quote (Azrad @ Nov 21 2009 03:05pm)
Very first one I opened (at random) filename 0926947295.txt if you have the torrent

No headers (I've looked a several now, none of them have headers, but I'm pretty sure they are legit anyway, curious that a hacker would steal email then removed the header...atypical for the community, but this is just a side note).


this email seems to be saying to me that they are bending over backwards to try to give an honest analysis of the situation, rather in conflict with the OP here


Exactly. Refer to my last two posts. They are making sure their data pools are all as accurate as possible. That's pretty much it.
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