Right, so I am the one who did the mistake to see it that way. Partisanship becoming contagious.

Like you said U.S democrats are not directly responsible of inflation, which was already in the mood few months before the covid pandemic.

In the long term for sure

sadly most people look around them, find anything bad, and say "the president is at fault for all of this". and they'll vote that way.

Yep, it's hopeless.

- Trump was dealt a shitty hand because covid wrecked his great economy and forced difficult decisions.
- Race riots are never great for a Republican incumbent.
- Democrats ruthlessly exaggerated and exploited covid and Floyd for political gain.
- Trump made genuine policy mistakes on these fronts.

All four of these things are true at the same time if you ask me. It was the compounded effect of all four factors which did him in. And Biden still barely limped across the finish line.

In any case, 2020 was a horrible year for him, it was textbook Murphy's Law. Couple this with a broadly acceptable, inoffensive challenger and being down far deeper in the polls than he ever was in the 2016 cycle, and it simply wasn't rational to assume that Trump had a 50:50 chance going into election day 2020, let alone that he was the favorite.




I gotta disagree. As an example, look at the way Obama successfully defined Romney in a negative way in 2012. Romney was never able to recover from this character assassination which took place months before the election.
Imho, Biden's glaring cognitive decline is a similar event which will have a lasting impact on this race. It casts doubt on his fundamental ability to fulfill the duties of his office. If there's one constant in US presidential politics, it's that US voters don't accept weakness in their leader.

This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Jul 9 2024 12:26pm

will the left recover?

No.

They literally have NO ONE up and coming that could even potentially demonstrate leadership qualities.

They statistically had better odds getting behind RFK even though the odds were still shit.

I'm from Illinois right outside of Chicago and every democrat I know hasn't said a WORD about Biden because they know he's a lame duck president.

I hear more and more people who would've NEVER considered voting for Trump start to sway that way.

Mind you Illinois has been a blue state guarantee for as long as the Republic has stood.

It won't be this election that Illinois goes RED but next election I could see it.

The entire state is RED outside of Chicago and it's a common joke in Illinois that everyone in "Chicago" is a democrat and everyone in the entirety of the rest of the state is a "republican".

Still have yet to have a friend or family member tell me what Joe Biden has done the last four years and what'd he'd do if he got another four.

It's sad and pathetic how cucked people are in my state.

Liisten to this sad leftist



This post was edited by Meanwhile on Jul 9 2024 01:27pm

Biden and the Democrats did push for, and ultimately got, yet another round of covid stimulus in the spring of 2021 - at a time when vaccines were already rolling out at a good pace, summer was around the corner and it was clear that we were increasingly leaving covid behind. And his treasury secretary as well as the FED very publicly declared that the early inflation was just "transitory" and wouldn't be cause for concern. Lo and behold, inflation was there to stay, surged even higher and ultimately had to be reined in with painfully drastic interest rate hikes.

So there is a pretty good argument to make that Biden and his administration are responsible for having exacerbated the post-covid inflation. Yes, some degree of inflation was always gonna be inevitable, but Biden clearly made it worse. To quantify this: inflation in the US stood at 7.5% in January 2022 while it stood at 5.1% in the eurozone. I picked Jan 22 as the reference point since it's the last month before the war in Ukraine, which had a bigger economic impact on Europe (and many developing countries) than the US.

This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Jul 9 2024 06:04pm

biden dumps harris the old comments go away
root problem as why they care
a woman taking over in a patriarchal country is apparently a no no if he dies in office