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Jun 13 2024 04:50pm
Quote (Black XistenZ @ Jun 13 2024 04:16pm)
There is a lot of room between achieving maximalist goals ("driving Russia out of every square mile of Ukrainian territory") and total defeat. If Ukraine was able to hold all of its territory except for the Donbass and Crimea, that would still be quite the success for them. Even stopping Russian advances from here on out and holding what they control today would be a semi-good outcome for them.


Capturing the Donbas and Crimea was Putin's objective from the get-go, so if he winds up taking the lands east of the Dnipro but West Ukraine holds onto Kyiv and Odessa, can it really be said to be a good outcome? I mean, besides the part where Ukraine could have negotiated a peace on those terms two years ago and saved hundreds of thousands of lives, its still Putin getting 'what he wants' in the end. Pretty sure the west could have gotten a lot better terms and held onto more of the middle farmlands that are now imperiled.

Quote (thesnipa @ Jun 13 2024 01:29pm)
all of those conflicts are different, we were forced to exit all of them because they turned on us. we're not there, our weapons are. whenever zelensky takes over what ever is left we wont be there in the same capacity. and we have a massive IOU, we didnt loan or sell weapons to the taliban, at least not officially. we were given access to the opium fields but that's not the same as a contract.

frankly im surprised biden didnt force a peace earlier to start recouping funds, but perhaps thats a ploy he's saving for closer to voting day. id expect to see a peace deal announced by october to pump his numbers. the optics of trump calling ukranians nazis falls on deaf ears and moves the needle zero.


When it comes to Afghanistan (back in the USSR) and the Syrian war, we were just arming locals to fight a proxy war and not forced to exit. However many fields are left in Ukraine I doubt they're much more likely to pay us back for ""loans"" any more than those Taliban goatherds were. If West Ukraine is folded into the EU, its going to be an indefinite net negative drain on resources as it becomes the worst welfare state in the union, even greece would start looking like germany.

I'd say for Biden's current decision making, if any is being made at all, its that nasty conflict between political expediency and geopolitical pragmatism. If the optics of perpetuating a pointless forever war get more votes than steering the world towards a peace to our benefit, I guess that's just a failure of democracy itself.
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Jun 13 2024 04:53pm
thought this was about israel support at first
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Jun 13 2024 09:06pm
Someone is confused on Nazi’s 😂
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Jun 13 2024 10:22pm
:blink:

This post was edited by lodd222 on Jun 13 2024 10:23pm
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Jun 14 2024 01:16am
Quote (Riddickulious @ Jun 14 2024 04:06am)
Someone is confused on Nazi’s 😂


Right?

Russia arming and supplying separatists in Ukraine for years is the biggest elephant in the room here.
Those separatists were ultra-nationalist and pro-Russian.

Azov was created in Mariupol to oppose those same separatists when it became clear they would try to take the city/region.

Ops line of arguing is the most blatant hypocrisy.
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Jun 14 2024 02:47am
Quote (Goomshill @ 14 Jun 2024 00:50)
Capturing the Donbas and Crimea was Putin's objective from the get-go

That was his minimum goal, but his objectives went far beyond that. Otherwise, he wouldn't have invaded all of Ukraine. Yes, one can excuse the push toward Kyiv as an attempted "decapitation strike" which would have brought the war to a quick end, fair enough. But his forces also pushed heavily toward Kharkiv and Odessa in the opening stages of the war, so to insinuate that Crimea and the Donbass were "everything Putin ever wanted" is clearly ridiculous.

Quote
so if he winds up taking the lands east of the Dnipro but West Ukraine holds onto Kyiv and Odessa, can it really be said to be a good outcome? I mean, besides the part where Ukraine could have negotiated a peace on those terms two years ago and saved hundreds of thousands of lives, its still Putin getting 'what he wants' in the end. Pretty sure the west could have gotten a lot better terms and held onto more of the middle farmlands that are now imperiled.

The big question is if these peace negotiations two years ago took place in good faith and would have produced a stable, lasting peace. The answer is of course 'yes' if your premise is that Russia is a trustworthy, good-faith actor in this conflict and essentially just reacting to Western aggression.

This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Jun 14 2024 02:48am
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Jun 14 2024 06:45am
Quote (18nomaUSEast @ Jun 14 2024 12:53am)
thought this was about israel support at first


I hope you don't mind if I illustrate your post with this picture.

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Jun 14 2024 10:43am
They do God work, eliminate big threat
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Jun 14 2024 01:28pm
Quote (Black XistenZ @ Jun 14 2024 02:47am)
That was his minimum goal, but his objectives went far beyond that. Otherwise, he wouldn't have invaded all of Ukraine. Yes, one can excuse the push toward Kyiv as an attempted "decapitation strike" which would have brought the war to a quick end, fair enough. But his forces also pushed heavily toward Kharkiv and Odessa in the opening stages of the war, so to insinuate that Crimea and the Donbass were "everything Putin ever wanted" is clearly ridiculous.


The big question is if these peace negotiations two years ago took place in good faith and would have produced a stable, lasting peace. The answer is of course 'yes' if your premise is that Russia is a trustworthy, good-faith actor in this conflict and essentially just reacting to Western aggression.


i dont think its as ridiculous as you say. if he did end the war we could still sign a peace treaty and accept nothing but the east of the country. just because you win doesnt mean you're forced to take everything, let a lone a crumbling capital that needs to be rebuilt. rebuilds post-war are a terribly expensive endeavor, i doubt putin wants to overburden himself. he has weapons, he has people, aplenty. i dont think he has as much of the ability to rebuild things and be able to get oligarchs to accept the bill.

as to the latter any lasting peace deal involves Ukraine not getting NATO membership, which even the ukranians dont really want imo. even if they're not trustworthy thats a clear redline to re-invasion.
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Jun 14 2024 05:14pm
Based and red pilled
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