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Feb 13 2019 12:46pm
Quote (zarkadon @ Feb 13 2019 01:33am)
Because it's much easier to get things done when decisions are made by one body instead of 28. If we want Europe's social culture and standard of life to prevail in the long run, we need a strong united entity that has the same geopolitical strength as China, Russia and the US.

Becoming a Type 1 Civilization is inevitable in the long run anyway, might as well start working towards such convergence on a continental level ^^


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Feb 13 2019 01:06pm
Quote (zarkadon @ Feb 13 2019 01:33am)
Because it's much easier to get things done when decisions are made by one body instead of 28. If we want Europe's social culture and standard of life to prevail in the long run, we need a strong united entity that has the same geopolitical strength as China, Russia and the US.

Becoming a Type 1 Civilization is inevitable in the long run anyway, might as well start working towards such convergence on a continental level ^^


Rutte in Zurich today, was advocating to reduce veto options to have more of a geopolitical mandate for the EU. Possible sanction for Russia after Skripal/OPCW attack and Venezuela right now can be and are veto'd away by one single state, making the EU ineffective for global politics. There was also a hint that effect of soft power is declining in our current world, imo possibly linked to the difference in gdp between the west and the rest declining over time.

https://nos.nl/artikel/2271825-rutte-sterk-europa-moet-makkelijker-sancties-kunnen-instellen.html
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Feb 13 2019 01:10pm
Quote (dro94 @ 13 Feb 2019 19:46)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-2XotbLTfD0


GL if you think Brexit will make UK great again like Trump is doing with US...

Quote (duffman316 @ 13 Feb 2019 18:28)
while i'm on board with having the rights to burn your flag, i also think people should be allowed to kick you in the nuts for burning the flag of the country you're living in instead of becoming politically active to make it better


Nuts kicking is such a dense political activity, the good news is it has less carbon... footprint...

Quote (Black XistenZ @ 13 Feb 2019 17:56)
ok, thats a good one! :D :thumbsup:


Forgot half of words, so i found an excuse in seeking the source:

https://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/2015/03/31/eu-flag-burning-fail-video_n_6977458.html

believed to be a member of the right-wing group Bolton North West Infidels

lol.
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Feb 13 2019 01:14pm
Quote (Saucisson6000 @ Feb 13 2019 08:10pm)
GL if you think Brexit will make UK great again like Trump is doing with US...



Nuts kicking is such a dense political activity, the good news is it has less carbon... footprint...



Forgot half of words, so i found an excuse in seeking the source:

https://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/2015/03/31/eu-flag-burning-fail-video_n_6977458.html

believed to be a member of the right-wing group Bolton North West Infidels

lol.


I don't think it will because of the EU's stubbornness. But it could be.
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Feb 13 2019 02:01pm
Oh, the UK will go to shit, no doubt about that. It's just that the EU will go to shit at an even higher pace than the UK, so leaving the sinking ship will still be good for them in the long run.
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Feb 13 2019 02:27pm
Quote (Black XistenZ @ Feb 12 2019 09:41pm)
all holders of a protection status from the big wave of 2015/16 are eligible for the workforce by now. the "not allowed to work yet"-thing doesnt apply to too many of them.

https://www.welt.de/politik/deutschland/article185665992/Bundesarbeitsagentur-Zwei-von-drei-Fluechtlingen-beziehen-Hartz-IV.html

17.12.2018:
German Employment Agency:

- 2 out of 3 refugees from the eight main countries of origin (syria, afghanistan, iraq, iran, nigeria, pakistan, eritrea, somalia) are receiving "Hartz IV", the German version of unemployment benefits. the other third has either found a proper job, or is a "fresh" asylum seeker, where either his/her asylum application is still pending; or was completed less than 2 years ago, so that he/she is still receiving benefits for asylum seekers, which are practically the same as the Hartz IV unemployment ones, but administratively separated.
- the German Employment Agency itself estimates "that there are about 1.7 million refugees/asylum seekers/... who came to Germany from the eight main countries of origin" - which implies that the total number is well above 1.7m!
- the rate of people who receive the unemployment benefits among immigrants from these 8 countries at the end of 2018 stood at 64%, compared with 9% among the entire population. (the rate is higher than the 3.3% unemployment rate since it includes minijobs which are subsizdes by the Employment Agency, and also children growing up in households with un- or underemployed parents.)


It's a bit of a shame that there is to much to break down within this post to come to a sensible discussion in relation to the article posted. And it's gonna require page and page of interaction with more research than I'd like to do on the subject and German law.
Total number of applications versus those in the country at a specific time, your sentence isn't clear on what the number is about.
All those with a protection status from that time. I think we (almost) call them all refugees, combined with a few other protection status' in lower numbers during that wave.. About the 44% acceptance in 2017 to get a status ? How many refugees were declined getting asylum, are still in the country and how many of those are eligible to work?

I'll give you that employment is in many cases partially subsidized as part of the integration process, overall the numbers are not showing the independent refugee percentage, but getting them to work is a part of the integration process. Those numbers going up is good news, other problems aside.

This post was edited by Knoppie on Feb 13 2019 02:47pm
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Feb 13 2019 02:47pm
Quote (Black XistenZ @ Feb 13 2019 09:01pm)
Oh, the UK will go to shit, no doubt about that. It's just that the EU will go to shit at an even higher pace than the UK, so leaving the sinking ship will still be good for them in the long run.


True. Of the big 3 EU countries Germany and France are already finished and the UK is pretty close. Then lower down, Spain, Italy and Sweden are also finished.
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Feb 13 2019 02:53pm
Quote (dro94 @ Feb 13 2019 09:47pm)
True. Of the big 3 EU countries Germany and France are already finished and the UK is pretty close. Then lower down, Spain, Italy and Sweden are also finished.


Basically the whole west is finished with trade routes shifting towards the east and coalitions crumbling instead of reforming from within to face the future with a vision.

This post was edited by Knoppie on Feb 13 2019 03:00pm
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Feb 13 2019 03:06pm
Quote (Black XistenZ @ Feb 13 2019 03:01pm)
Oh, the UK will go to shit, no doubt about that. It's just that the EU will go to shit at an even higher pace than the UK, so leaving the sinking ship will still be good for them in the long run.


i'm curious which nutjob in europe started the whole "we need to save all the worlds poor" madness
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Feb 13 2019 03:07pm
Quote (Knoppie @ 13 Feb 2019 21:27)
It's a bit of a shame that there is to much to break down within this post to come to a sensible discussion in relation to the article posted. And it's gonna require page and page of interaction with more research than I'd like to do on the subject and German law.
Total number of applications versus those in the country at a specific time, your sentence isn't clear on what the number is about.
All those with a protection status from that time. I think we (almost) call them all refugees, combined with a few other protection status' in lower numbers during that wave.. About the 44% acceptance in 2017 to get a status ? How many refugees were declined getting asylum, are still in the country and how many of those are eligible to work?

I'll give you that employment is in many cases partially subsidized as part of the integration process, overall the numbers are not showing the independent refugee percentage, but getting them to work is a part of the integration process. Those numbers going up is good news, other problems aside.


the term "refugees" is commonly used to denote a variety of different legal statuses:

- approved as refugee according to German asylum laws (these cases make up just 2-6% of all the 'refugees' (in the umbrella-term meaning) in Germany)
- approved as refugee according to European asylum laws
- approved as refugee according to the Geneva Convention on Refugees
- admitted into the country via a resettlement program
- admitted into the country via a family reunification ticket
- rejected asylum seeker who was granted the weaker "subsidiary protection status" (granted for example to the majority of asylum seekers who claim to be from syria)
- rejected asylum seeker who is technically obliged to leave the country, but was given a suspension of deportation by the authorities
- rejected asylum seeker who is imminently obliged to leave the country

it's a huge clusterfuck...


----

the 1.7m refugees (in the umbrella-term meaning of the word) that the German Employment Agency was talking about in this press release referred to persons who were present in the country at the time and who hailed form one of the eight main countries of origin. in general, the total number of refugees in the country is at least as high as the number of applications, for two reasons.

first, almost no one who came since the summer of 2015 has left the country, deportations have been miniscule for this group of asylum seekers. (minor sidenote on why I emphasize the "since the summer of 2015" part: there was some success in deporting blatant fortune seekers/economic migrants from the Balkan states who came to Germany in late 2014 and the first half of 2015. since their home countries are either in the EU or want to play nice with the EU, we were able to send most of them back home. since the summer of 2015, the vast majority of asylum seekers coming to germany have been from the muslim world or africa.)

second, there are occasions where several people come into the country with just one asylum application, for example in cases of family reunifications. there have been cases where a syrian man who had come to germany filed for family reunification, and thus brought in his entire core family of 8 or so persons - but this procedure was showing up in the statistics as one single application. combined with the almost non-existing deportation rate for non-european asylum seekers, the total number of refugees in the country can safely be assumed to be higher than the number of asylum applications; but in any case, it's at the very least as high.

This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Feb 13 2019 03:12pm
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