Quote (Black XistenZ @ 1 Apr 2020 01:18)
The amounts of tests affects the case fatality rate. Which is highly skewed by the testing regimes, which vary wildly between countries. But I was talking about the actual number of deaths, since that's a metric which shouldnt be as skewed. And on this metric, Germany is doing suspiciously well compared to almost anyone else.
Our hospitals have been filling up in recent days, but there are still enough capacities open for our own people; we even flew in a few emergency cases from France and Italy; into less affected regions of our country where we're confident we wont need the beds for another 3 weeks or so.
One thing to keep in mind is that deaths are lagging behind the infection numbers by around 10 or so days, and the reported infection numbers lag the actual infection events by another 10 or so days on average iirc.
The amount of tests is a controllable thing, and i can tell you the French government first tried to not make too much tests, especially on suspicious cases who were properly instructed, even ordered, to stay at home.
The amount of deaths is not relevant at this stage, this is an exponential formula and you know the final results, you have the global picture, only several weeks after the pike is done. Just before the pseudo-provoked second wave - and here we have an ethical problem.
Some countries applied containment early enough while not having much cases, i guess Germany is one of these. Secondary factors are then: are only essential workers working etc...? Even promiscuity habits.
There's others factors incoming; like in US it will be the layer of people who are simply badly covered, so the pike may continue or not lower enough, relatively.
/nb: anyone could write what i wrote above, simple logic, btw i have to confess France delayed its official results by 24h for some reason... We have second largest criticals, not sure if they are really critical or if it's because we take care of our people more than others.
or if critical have a different meaning here

/nb2: i would not be surprised if Germany decided to "trick" things too, each one doing it following their manners: bluff, manipulation, censorship...etc. Diversity.
This post was edited by Saucisson6000 on Mar 31 2020 05:42pm