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Feb 9 2019 08:18am
Quote (Saucisson6000 @ Feb 9 2019 03:01pm)
have to pickup one of these 3

Rochdale, Burnley or Bolton


Yeah they all suck. Do they suck more than sucky places in Germany or Canada? I wouldn't know
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Feb 9 2019 08:31am
Quote (dro94 @ 9 Feb 2019 14:30)
From my experience, Glasgow is a very nice city. The wikipedia page you've linked shows that Glasgow's low life expectancy is really low even after accounting for poverty and income. That's not evidence of it being fucked up, that's evidence of a not fully understood phenomenon that poverty can't explain. If anything, it's an argument against your point.

We could name rough areas of any city, but as you are arguing these ones are comparatively worse, you'll have to back up why Moss Side or Toxteth is worse than a rough area in other Western countries. I don't really understand where that assertion is coming from. Again, in my experience both Manchester and Liverpool are pretty similar to cities like Hamburg and Dublin.

Bristol is actually a rich city and ranked one of the best places to live in the UK, but on the other hand that photo is compelling evidence.


bigger cities will always have some poor and some rich areas. but the percentage of a city's area/population that's deprived and in decay is just very high in cities in northern england/scotland/northern ireland. similarly, many parts of greater london are in social decline, just look at the soaring number of knife and acid attacks.

----------

about the british cities except for london being quite deprived:

http://www.nsi.bg/sites/default/files/files/pressreleases/ECP_GDP-Regional_2016_en.pdf
look at this table listing the GDP per capita (using purchasing power parity) in various EU regions in 2016, look at the last column (EU average = 100):

UK average: 108

London overall: 188
Inner London west: 611 (roflmao!!)
Inner London east: 167
Outer London east & north east: 77 (sic!)
Outer London south: 95
Outer London west & north west: 135

West Midlands (Birmingham): 86
Greater Manchester: 92
Merseyside (Liverpool): 81


Northumberland and Tyne & Wear (Newcastle): 82


These numbers are very poor for regions which contain a large urban agglomeration, since this statistic skews in favor of cities at the expense of the surrounding rural areas. The authors acklowledge this right at the start:
Quote
It should be noted, however, that in some regions the GDP per capita figures can be significantly influenced by commuter flows. Net commuter inflows in these regions push up production to a level that could not be achieved by the resident active population on its own. There is a corresponding effect in regions with commuter outflows.


For an example of this phenomenom, the German city of Bremen, which is widely known as one of the poorest and worst-governed cities in West Germany, is reaching a score of 155 in this statistic because it's city borders are very narrow. Even the poorest German region, largely rural and deindustrialized Mecklenburg-Vorpommern in former East Germany, is reaching 84.

Hamburg reaches a score of 200. Stockholm is at 173, Vienna at 153, Paris at 175. Dublin is at 212. (sic!)

So the poor numbers of region which are dominated in terms of population and economy by large cities, like the Manchester/Liverpool/Birmingham/Newcastle, are really quite astounding.






tldr: Manchester and Liverpool are at a score of 92 and 81, respectively, while Dublin and Hamburg are at 217 and 200. The deprived regions of London are at a shocking 77.
so to sum it up, the official EU statistics back up every claim I made in previous posts.

This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Feb 9 2019 08:35am
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Feb 9 2019 08:45am
Quote (dro94 @ 9 Feb 2019 15:18)
Yeah they all suck. Do they suck more than sucky places in Germany or Canada? I wouldn't know


I took the most declining ones instead of the poorest ones; previous post war industrial era expansion which even failed their "comeback" in service etc sectors...
The same in Europe exists, theres nothing special to say about all this. Just some areas are nice spots to take a shot and then writing: " islamization islamization islamization islamization islamization islamization islamization islamization "

This is just fucking up the topic. Unfortunately there's not much news during the we.

This post was edited by Saucisson6000 on Feb 9 2019 08:47am
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Feb 9 2019 09:26am
Quote (Black XistenZ @ Feb 9 2019 03:31pm)
bigger cities will always have some poor and some rich areas. but the percentage of a city's area/population that's deprived and in decay is just very high in cities in northern england/scotland/northern ireland. similarly, many parts of greater london are in social decline, just look at the soaring number of knife and acid attacks.

----------

about the british cities except for london being quite deprived:

http://www.nsi.bg/sites/default/files/files/pressreleases/ECP_GDP-Regional_2016_en.pdf
look at this table listing the GDP per capita (using purchasing power parity) in various EU regions in 2016, look at the last column (EU average = 100):

UK average: 108

London overall: 188
Inner London west: 611 (roflmao!!)
Inner London east: 167
Outer London east & north east: 77 (sic!)
Outer London south: 95
Outer London west & north west: 135

West Midlands (Birmingham): 86
Greater Manchester: 92
Merseyside (Liverpool): 81


Northumberland and Tyne & Wear (Newcastle): 82


These numbers are very poor for regions which contain a large urban agglomeration, since this statistic skews in favor of cities at the expense of the surrounding rural areas. The authors acklowledge this right at the start:


For an example of this phenomenom, the German city of Bremen, which is widely known as one of the poorest and worst-governed cities in West Germany, is reaching a score of 155 in this statistic because it's city borders are very narrow. Even the poorest German region, largely rural and deindustrialized Mecklenburg-Vorpommern in former East Germany, is reaching 84.

Hamburg reaches a score of 200. Stockholm is at 173, Vienna at 153, Paris at 175. Dublin is at 212. (sic!)

So the poor numbers of region which are dominated in terms of population and economy by large cities, like the Manchester/Liverpool/Birmingham/Newcastle, are really quite astounding.






tldr: Manchester and Liverpool are at a score of 92 and 81, respectively, while Dublin and Hamburg are at 217 and 200. The deprived regions of London are at a shocking 77.
so to sum it up, the official EU statistics back up every claim I made in previous posts.


There is a rebuttal of the interpretations of this study here (albeit for a previous year): https://fullfact.org/economy/does-uk-have-poorest-regions-northern-europe/

Specifically, the error in your interpretation is the equation of GDP per capita to 'depravity':

Quote
GDP measures the size of economies, in this case regional economies, but not all of the income produced is claimed by people in those regions. For example, people that live overseas can make investments in London, and then claim income from them.

That means that GDP per person measures the wealth of regions, and Eurostat says it does not “measure the income ultimately available to private households of a region” - i.e. how "rich" or "poor" they are .


In addition, the extremely high prices and population in London would skew national price levels and subsequently GDP in other regions, for example Manchester or Liverpool:

Quote
Also, when producing the figures, Eurostat adjusts GDP for price differences between countries, so you can compare the economic activity of different regions, regardless of their price levels. But this amount is set at a national level, so doesn’t account for the fact that price levels in some regions may differ from other regions within the same country (London is a much more expensive place to live than the rest of the UK, for instance).

So some regions with price levels lower than the national average may appear poorer than they actually are, and vice-versa.


There is also the splitting of cities like London to highlight the rich and poorer areas in contrast to cities like Dublin or Hamburg which aren't, as well as other 'regions':

Quote
For example, London is split into five sub regions. That means that you can see the wealth difference between the richest bit of London, (Inner London – West), and the poorest bit of London (Outer London – East and North East).

But not all cities are split like this. For example, at this regional level, the largest region is the Ile-de-France with 12 million people. This includes Paris, its suburbs and surrounding areas. The GDP of this region isn’t split down further. So we can’t know whether, for example, the outskirts of Paris are poorer or richer than the outskirts of London.


Here is the actual graphic of the study's results:



The only places that are consistently green (well above average) are Germany, Switzerland, Belgium, Denmark, Netherlands, Norway and Sweden. Other areas include South East England, Northern Italy and the metropolitan areas of Paris and Madrid.

tldr; the eurostat study is not applicable to the point you were trying to make. What it does show is that the UK is a highly unequal class society, which is absolutely true.

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Feb 9 2019 09:35am
After reviewing the above post I feel like I didn't emphasise enough the point about income inequality and price levels. Due to rich areas in the UK being richer than nearly everywhere else in Europe, at a national level the relative measure of price levels when measured by PPP, poverty and income inequality are largely overstated in studies.
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Feb 10 2019 11:22am
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Feb 10 2019 12:18pm
Despite Pedro Sánchez's backpedaling over the last 3 days, the demonstration against him in Plaza Colón (Madrid) has been pretty huge, extending throughout several nearby streets.

https://www.abc.es/espana/abci-video-prueba-enorme-dimension-manifestacion-unidad-espana-201902101554_video.html

https://twitter.com/PPopular/status/1094641828547252224

The demonstration was originally called up by centrist party C's, to demand elections and protest towards the concessions Sánchez was planning to make (before backpedaling) to the catalan separatists in order to get the national budget approved in parliament (the votes of separatist parties ERC and PDeCat are necessary atm), but was also backed by right wing party PP and alt-right conservative party VOX.

Expectations had been lowered after Sánchez's announcement that they were freezing negotiations with the separatist parties and the adherence of VOX to the manifesto (prompting unhappy left-wingers, that had originally expressed their interest in participating, to back down), but it seems like the final result was around 4-8 times higher than what was originally expected (varies depending on the sources).

Pedro Sánchez is going to have it rough in the following weeks/months. He needs to keep both his party and the separatists happy in order to pass his budget, and that is simply not possible right now (the separatists won't budge as they are happy with the chaos, and several of Sánchez's party members pretty much threatened with rebellion if the president didn't stop offering concessions to the separatists). If he doesn't get the budget approved, he will have to call for elections in fall, and it's unlikely he will survive that.

It will be interesting to see what happens on the May "super-elections" (european, munincipalities and regional elections on the same day). That will showcase if there's a real shift in spanish society or not, and the government alliances that form in the different cities and regions could determine the future of the current national government.
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Feb 10 2019 01:20pm
Quote (zarkadon @ Feb 10 2019 07:18pm)
Despite Pedro Sánchez's backpedaling over the last 3 days, the demonstration against him in Plaza Colón (Madrid) has been pretty huge, extending throughout several nearby streets.

https://www.abc.es/espana/abci-video-prueba-enorme-dimension-manifestacion-unidad-espana-201902101554_video.html

https://twitter.com/PPopular/status/1094641828547252224

The demonstration was originally called up by centrist party C's, to demand elections and protest towards the concessions Sánchez was planning to make (before backpedaling) to the catalan separatists in order to get the national budget approved in parliament (the votes of separatist parties ERC and PDeCat are necessary atm), but was also backed by right wing party PP and alt-right conservative party VOX.

Expectations had been lowered after Sánchez's announcement that they were freezing negotiations with the separatist parties and the adherence of VOX to the manifesto (prompting unhappy left-wingers, that had originally expressed their interest in participating, to back down), but it seems like the final result was around 4-8 times higher than what was originally expected (varies depending on the sources).

Pedro Sánchez is going to have it rough in the following weeks/months. He needs to keep both his party and the separatists happy in order to pass his budget, and that is simply not possible right now (the separatists won't budge as they are happy with the chaos, and several of Sánchez's party members pretty much threatened with rebellion if the president didn't stop offering concessions to the separatists). If he doesn't get the budget approved, he will have to call for elections in fall, and it's unlikely he will survive that.

It will be interesting to see what happens on the May "super-elections" (european, munincipalities and regional elections on the same day). That will showcase if there's a real shift in spanish society or not, and the government alliances that form in the different cities and regions could determine the future of the current national government.


Read a bbc article on it today: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-47190135

What are the polling figures for Spain excluding Catalonia supporting another independence vote or imposed unity?
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Feb 10 2019 02:20pm
Quote (dro94 @ 10 Feb 2019 20:20)
Read a bbc article on it today: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-47190135

What are the polling figures for Spain excluding Catalonia supporting another independence vote or imposed unity?


The closest thing to what you're asking for is the question the CIS (Sociological Investigation Center) asks in their monthly nationwide survey (What model of territorial organization would you want for Spain?). The latest update (on 31/01) was:

A unitary state that isn't divided into Autonomous Regions - 16%
A state where Autonomous Regions have less autonomy than they do now - 12.1%
A state that is divided into Autonomous Regions with the same degree of autonomy they currently have - 42%
A state where Autonomous Regions have greater autonomy than they do now - 13.8
A state where Autonomous Regions are allowed to become independent states - 9.4%

Right now we have option 3, which is pretty much a de facto federal state, divided into 17 Autonomous Regions (it is very heavily modeled after Germany). It's not federal de jure, though... mostly because the word "federal" still brings painful memories to much of spanish society.

As I say, this survey is nationwide. There are no polls that "exclude" Catalonia afaik. But considering that 16% of Spain lives in Catalonia (and even more people live in other regions like Euskadi, where there are also strong nationalist sentiments), the fact that only 9.4% percent of the people want regions to have the right to become independent kind of implies that support for such a vote would be minimal outside of Catalonia.

This post was edited by zarkadon on Feb 10 2019 02:23pm
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Feb 10 2019 02:55pm
Quote (zarkadon @ 10 Feb 2019 21:20)
The closest thing to what you're asking for is the question the CIS (Sociological Investigation Center) asks in their monthly nationwide survey (What model of territorial organization would you want for Spain?). The latest update (on 31/01) was:

A unitary state that isn't divided into Autonomous Regions - 16%
A state where Autonomous Regions have less autonomy than they do now - 12.1%
A state that is divided into Autonomous Regions with the same degree of autonomy they currently have - 42%
A state where Autonomous Regions have greater autonomy than they do now - 13.8
A state where Autonomous Regions are allowed to become independent states - 9.4%

Right now we have option 3, which is pretty much a de facto federal state, divided into 17 Autonomous Regions (it is very heavily modeled after Germany). It's not federal de jure, though... mostly because the word "federal" still brings painful memories to much of spanish society.

As I say, this survey is nationwide. There are no polls that "exclude" Catalonia afaik. But considering that 16% of Spain lives in Catalonia (and even more people live in other regions like Euskadi, where there are also strong nationalist sentiments), the fact that only 9.4% percent of the people want regions to have the right to become independent kind of implies that support for such a vote would be minimal outside of Catalonia.


well, the crux are the supporters of independence within Catalonia, arent they? even if they do not make up a majority of Catalans, they are a sizeable voting bloc. even if there is almost no support for Catalonian separatism outside of Catalonia, the issue will still persist as long as the separatists have political influence in their state parliament.
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