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May 9 2016 12:23pm
Quote (ThatAlex @ May 9 2016 01:18pm)

Unfortunately for the GOP, the Tea Party is here to stay for at least a little while longer. And their precense has actually made it harder to pass real Conservative agenda (especially fiscally) because of their principle to never compromise.

So yeah, Sarah Palin and the Tea Party have been terrible for the GOP. Never compromising sounds good in theory but you end up pissing off your own base because you don't actually get anything done. If you repeatedly talk about how Washington, politicians, and government are corrupt, then eventually the people are going to want someone who is an "outsider." Enter Donald Trump.


Also enter the candidate who is pretty much campaigning on the idea of working together with people and getting others to work together so we can actually get something done for once this decade.

This post was edited by Mangix on May 9 2016 12:23pm
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May 9 2016 02:42pm
Quote (Saucisson6000 @ May 9 2016 04:28pm)
is that true ? where do we find that data?


You won't get it from mainstream media, they'll never show the crowd. But if you look at some of the pictures of the rallies, people like Hillary are in small rooms with a few hundred people while Trump is speaking in a fully packed football stadium with 30,000 people + 10,000 more outside trying to get in.

Smaller news sites are starting to report it more and more, and there's a few videos:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X3xbBGB4tP4

http://nypost.com/2015/08/22/trump-gets-biggest-crowd-of-any-2016-candidate-so-far/

This post was edited by EA7 on May 9 2016 02:42pm
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May 9 2016 02:53pm
Quote (Santara @ May 6 2016 04:39pm)
On the other hand, the libertarian party will be on the ballot in all 50 states, and Gary Johnson pulled 11% in a 3-way with Trump/Clinton. Assuming he wins his lawsuit to gain admittance to the presidential debates, it could be a different 3rd party spoiler come November.


I think them benefiting is way more likely than a viable Indy coming out of nowhere so late, but I don't even think that would swing the outcome given how much Obama beat Romney in the battlegrounds. Clinton has to either do significantly worse than Obama did in those, or Trump has to do better than Romney did (or both at the same time). In the case of VA: Johnson got about 30k votes in back in 2012 and we also had a former House Rep. on the ballot who also spent 20 years in the State Senate and he managed only 10k votes, and he was practically universally known in a third of the state that Obama ignored and that Romney took for granted. If the non-major vote only amounts to ~60k votes and Obama received 2.0m and Romney got a little over 1.8m, it's just not going to make the difference unless something else caused the numbers to shift at the top. VA's also one of the few states this year that won't have to deal with GOP voter suppression that had to put up with it in 2012 (the other being PA), so that could mean more additional raw votes.


Quote (IgoSoHard @ May 9 2016 07:07am)
Key word being you think. Just like you think Clintons negatives are going to magically go up. Just like how everyone thought that the idea was absurd that Trump would garnish any real support, much less win the nomination. Both of which he's doing in staggering fashion. Neither of these God awful candidates support are going anywhere. It seems like Trump has much more energy & enthusiasm behind him compared to Clinton. Sanders is seeing a lot as well although I'm not sure his followers that are feeling some type of berning sensation when they pee, are going to fall in line with Hillary once she wins the nomination. Also, everyone is well aware of Trumps off-putting antics, & his numbers have steadily gone up. I'm not sure Hillary is going to see the same phenomenon once the attack ads start rolling in.


No, LOL. Just no.



I don't understand how people still don't get this shit after all this time. His numbers haven't "steadily gone up." He gets more unpopular as time passes, to the point now where he's comically unpopular. He's become more popular among Republicans, starting last August and hitting a key mark in November (Paris attacks), but his numbers have been going in the complete opposite direction with literally everyone else. That dynamic can work in a primary where he only won 40% of the cumulative vote because the rest of it (and the money) is split between the huge field, all because the party is disorganized.

To win a general election his numbers with other groups have to start moving in the right direction now, too. And they have to improve by a whole lot.
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May 9 2016 02:59pm
Quote (EA7 @ 9 May 2016 21:42)
You won't get it from mainstream media, they'll never show the crowd. But if you look at some of the pictures of the rallies, people like Hillary are in small rooms with a few hundred people while Trump is speaking in a fully packed football stadium with 30,000 people + 10,000 more outside trying to get in.

Smaller news sites are starting to report it more and more, and there's a few videos:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X3xbBGB4tP4

http://nypost.com/2015/08/22/trump-gets-biggest-crowd-of-any-2016-candidate-so-far/


hmm im not trusting you btw in your piece of paper i read bernie made 28k in oregon

data on that stuff is very very unsure
http://www.al.com/news/index.ssf/2015/08/how_big_was_the_crowd_at_donal.html



This post was edited by Saucisson6000 on May 9 2016 03:05pm
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May 9 2016 04:01pm
Quote (EA7 @ May 9 2016 01:42pm)
You won't get it from mainstream media, they'll never show the crowd. But if you look at some of the pictures of the rallies, people like Hillary are in small rooms with a few hundred people while Trump is speaking in a fully packed football stadium with 30,000 people + 10,000 more outside trying to get in.

Smaller news sites are starting to report it more and more, and there's a few videos:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X3xbBGB4tP4

http://nypost.com/2015/08/22/trump-gets-biggest-crowd-of-any-2016-candidate-so-far/


You don't see the crowd at Trump's events because he forces the traveling press into a pinned-in area, so they logistically can't pan around the room. He whines that they don't show the crowd sizes even though he's the reason they're not allowed to do it, because he's a pathological liar.

Clinton has more events at smaller locations because she has more events period. She's kept a more active campaign schedule than he has and they're better for organizing. Amusingly that "low energy" attack Trump flung at Bush was way more applicable to himself than anyone else.
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May 9 2016 04:17pm
Quote (Pollster @ May 9 2016 05:01pm)
You don't see the crowd at Trump's events because he forces the traveling press into a pinned-in area, so they logistically can't pan around the room. He whines that they don't show the crowd sizes even though he's the reason they're not allowed to do it, because he's a pathological liar.

Clinton has more events at smaller locations because she has more events period. She's kept a more active campaign schedule than he has and they're better for organizing. Amusingly that "low energy" attack Trump flung at Bush was way more applicable to himself than anyone else.



The press doesn't show the crowds because Trump consistently has significantly more people at his events. Period. Trump's largest crowds have been upwards of 30,000 people. Clintons largest crowds have been around 4,000 people. Clinton has more events at smaller venues because she pulls in smaller crowds.
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May 9 2016 04:18pm
Goofy Elizabeth Warren and Crooked Hillary are so toast - weak! All talk no action!
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May 9 2016 04:21pm
Quote (IgoSoHard @ May 9 2016 02:17pm)
The press doesn't show the crowds because Trump consistently has significantly more people at his events. Period. Trump's largest crowds have been upwards of 30,000 people. Clintons largest crowds have been around 4,000 people. Clinton has more events at smaller venues because she pulls in smaller crowds.


yeah because covering Trump more than any other candidate to the point of putting an empty Trump stage(awaiting a speech) on the main screen while Sanders (another 30ker) is actually giving a speech in the tiny right hand corner is not interested in covering what goes on at Trump rallies
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May 9 2016 05:29pm
Quote (IgoSoHard @ May 9 2016 03:17pm)
The press doesn't show the crowds because Trump consistently has significantly more people at his events. Period. Trump's largest crowds have been upwards of 30,000 people. Clintons largest crowds have been around 4,000 people. Clinton has more events at smaller venues because she pulls in smaller crowds.


Nope, that's just hurr durr bullshit. I get why you're regurgitating it (because you're clueless), but don't bother spewing this nonsense at me: I'm obviously way too informed to buy into this. I mean this bullshit was debunked month's ago like every other one of his lies. The press isn't allowed to leave the press pen, and that's what obstructs them from being able to film the crowds (or him from any other angle but the one they use). It's open and shut.

https://twitter.com/patcaldwell/status/702363824750460928

http://www.sun-sentinel.com/news/fl-michael-mayo-reporter-kicked-out-trump-rally-20160314-story.html

http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2016/04/2016-media-issue-donald-trump-press-pen-campaign-reporters-campaign-lewandowski-schreckinger-213824

http://www.motherjones.com/politics/2016/03/donald-trump-banned-publications

http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/cover_story/2016/03/on_the_trail_with_donald_trump_s_disgusting_press_corps.html

Quote
The press isn’t allowed to exit or enter the designated pen while the rallies are happening, which means you can either stay inside to get separation from the crowds (and a usable workspace) or stay outside to get close-up footage of altercations happening amid the throng


But, you know, just keep repeating it!
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May 9 2016 05:32pm
Quote (Pollster @ May 9 2016 03:29pm)
Nope, that's just hurr durr bullshit. I get why you're regurgitating it (because you're clueless), but don't bother spewing this nonsense at me: I'm obviously way too informed to buy into this. I mean this bullshit was debunked month's ago like every other one of his lies. The press isn't allowed to leave the press pen, and that's what obstructs them from being able to film the crowds (or him from any other angle but the one they use). It's open and shut.

https://twitter.com/patcaldwell/status/702363824750460928

http://www.sun-sentinel.com/news/fl-michael-mayo-reporter-kicked-out-trump-rally-20160314-story.html

http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2016/04/2016-media-issue-donald-trump-press-pen-campaign-reporters-campaign-lewandowski-schreckinger-213824

http://www.motherjones.com/politics/2016/03/donald-trump-banned-publications

http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/cover_story/2016/03/on_the_trail_with_donald_trump_s_disgusting_press_corps.html



But, you know, just keep repeating it!


I forgot about the press pens

they body slammed that one reporter for stepping a bit outside the pen a while back
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