Quote (Sioux @ Feb 18 2022 01:33pm)
Russia is literally following the playbook they used in the 2008 war with Georgia and the 2014 annexation of Crimea and Chopstickz is SHOCKED that someone would think Russia is the aggressor
Chop, if Ukraine is such an imminent threat that they need to evacuate separatist regions ASAP why record the video two days ago and release it now? Shouldnt if have gone out immediately if there was a real threat?
Fun fact - in 2008, Georgia initiated hostilities first by killing a few dozen Russian peacekeeping soldiers with an unprovoked artillery strike, after being armed and egged on to attack by NATO. It was only after this incident that Russia used military force, in response to a direct attack on their armed forces.
If there were an attack by Russia against US soldiers that killed 30 men in a single airstrike, you bet your ass there would be some kind of US military response - the internal domestic pressure to respond alone would be massive.
So you're right - the same playbook is being followed. Initiate hostilities, attack and kill people, then blame Russia when they respond to blatant aggression against them.
About the video, I didn't respond earlier because it's stupid. So the video was recorded two days before being uploaded. So what? You think that means anything important? No, it doesn't.
You think 700 thousand people are being evacuated from Donbass for fun? You think they would do that just for propaganda? Please. At any rate, the Ukrainian army has not begun their offensive yet, but the situation has reached a critical enough stage that it appears to be imminent and people are panicking. As of right now there is a ~20km long line of civilian cars leaving Donbass.
It could take a few days or weeks for them to break-through the frontline and directly threaten Donetsk/Luhansk. That's assuming they breakthrough and the defenses fail - a big assumption. Nevertheless, it's the wiser choice to evacuate - nobody knows how the situation will unfold and it's far better for them to assume the worst than be killed off. Any deaths of DPR/LPR civilians will either be ignored or blamed on Russia, so, it's better for them to leave the area.
Russia will face huge internal pressure to respond to the Ukrainian military offensive against Donbass. The Russian people are pissed off due to what they see as double-sided hypocrisy and racism against Russian-speaking citizens that are under threat of being massacred by the Ukrainian army. They are demanding action.
The only party that could put a stop to this is Ukraine itself. All they need to do is stop shelling Donbass and call off any potential offensive operation. But right now all signs point to the opposite and on top of that they are being pressured by Biden's admin to attack, who will look pretty dumb if nothing happens next week. Unfortunately Biden needs this war to help with his sagging approval ratings, especially with the mid-terms coming up.