Quote (IceMage @ Jun 13 2018 07:26am)
You don't think Trump saying this helps North Korea on the international stage? They still have nukes, they haven't agreed to any rock solid proposals, and Trump now thinks they are no longer a nuclear threat.
Helping them on an international stage is a bit of a vague idea. They almost unilaterally have no "help" now. China pumps in just enough food and gas to prevent millions of refugees from crossing their border. Besides that there is almost no physical tangible help. The more pertinent question is, does making NK feel "comfortable" serve our interests, and the world's interest, and the starving NK citizens interest, in the longrun. I'm not entirely sure, but i can't discount it.
I think of it this way, if you have a toxic member of a sports team. and their toxicity leads them to be kicked off. when they eventually drag themselves head down into the coaches office and beg to be back on the team they need to make assurances based on nothing tangible that they're sorry, they've changed, and it won't happen again. The coach then reintroduces them to the team and makes assurances that they have learned their lesson and shouldn't be ostracized but rather welcomed back into the fold. Based on nothing tangible. This is a reasonable way to assure the person stays in line, treat them well and maybe they'll be ok. Treat them like shit from the onset and you're guaranteeing they will be toxic again. treat them with ever present skepticism and they will live up to it.
Quote
North Korea is a nuclear armed nation hostile to the US and our allies... how in the world are they not a nuclear threat? You could argue that they would never use them, maybe even that they would never proliferate, but if they were a nuclear threat before the summit, they are still a nuclear threat after the summit.
what i'm saying is they shouldn't have realistically been considered a nuclear threat before the summit. they're sabre rattling to hold control because since the end of the Korean War the north has been ripe territory, since the end of the cold war and it's departure from communism even more so. now the region has gained traction economically and it's an even shinier pearl, so they felt the heat and started to join the modern world of keeping people out of your country. the most common "targets" of the NK regime are the south, whom they'd never bomb because they value Korean blood like gold, and the US whom no one at all thinks they can reach. Not even Hawaii. You have to logically restrict their "targets" to nothing but Japan and Guam. There are no other logical places they'd shoot at. Guam seems like a stretch technically and logically when u look deeper. Japan is the target.
Quote
Also, I'm not sure the experts have as much faith in our missile defense systems as you do.
I've read a lot of cold war era generals flapping their gums. and i've read a lot of modern experts saying we dont know what the US has or what it can do. that secrecy is a natural deterrent they've been employing since the cold war.
here's what i base my opinion on tho. we wouldnt be IMO doing the amount of drills we're doing if we couldn't intercept. if we thought a bomb could land the response would be to turn Pyongyang into glass before they can land or launch a second. the plan seems to be, from the war games, intercept then bomb their pants off with non-nukes and walk in from the north and south. this is just my speculation tho. and we're using 2020 tech to intercept what in realist is like a 1980 nuke, regardless of it's power the delivery system is likely to be an old USSR icbm or a reverse engineered equivalent. unless Putin slid them a modern missile under the table, aka world war 3 with China-Russia alliance.