You're referring to the WI, WaPo poll, right? That's clearly an outlier and that's why we use polling aggregates. Sometimes an outlier may see something that others don't see (i.e. Selzer) and some are just flat out wrong (like WaPo). I'd rather them publish it as opposed to fudging the numbers. It allows other firms to look at it to see what went wrong.

Santorum was defending Trump the last few days, even today. Saying things like nah, he'd never try to question the legitness of the election process. It's JUST after Trump's Speech that he started slowly to accept reality that he has to flip. Even in the beginning he was reticent, but the panel was blasting Trump so much he just had to conform.

Visual bonus :



Look at that face

President John Huntman sounds pretty good atm huh GOP? You passed that up...

yeah because he wouldn’t have been called the most evil candidate ever by the opposition too


yes and its not just an outlier and not just not an error. it isnt even remotey close to the realm of a feasible result

that is like reagan 84 level landslide margin. wait not really, reagan won by 9 in 1984 in wisconsin

This post was edited by excellence on Nov 5 2020 07:18pm

Ahhh, I do love the view of sad froth.

LOL

Dems were actually a bit infatuated with him, he was so smart. He was fiscally conservative but compassionate which are my favorite governors and why i am a 2x Kasich voter.

That face when the homos can marry and moms all out of tendies

It's not a statistical error but it's a modeling/sampling error. All you can do is throw it onto the pile and poll more. Failure to do that literally results in herding which fucks things up. I 100% agree that it was a nonsensical result.

There were a ton of polls showing Biden up 10-12% nationally. B+ and A+ rated pollsters had Biden up by 11 in Florida and 13 in Pennsylvania, and so on and on. Let's just say it like it is: some, not all but some, of these polls were propaganda.



Even more importantly, the polls once again did not do a good job capturing the trends of the various states. Polls in Minnesota and Georgia nailed it. Polls in Wisconsin, South Carolina and Florida were way off.

The tldr is basically that pollsters did a good job predicting the margins of Trump and Biden among rural/suburban/urban as well as college and non-college whites - but they again badly underestimated the rural turnout Trump would be getting, and they also failed to capture the movement of latinos toward Trump.