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Feb 21 2019 05:04pm
Quote (Black XistenZ @ Feb 21 2019 04:53pm)
hm, I consider it well within the realm of possible that Trump wins via the EC despite losing the popular vote again in 2020; and I can see Republicans being at an advantage in the EC well into the 2030s.

the party which is at an advantage in the EC has historically swung a lot, almost from election to election, but if we enter a longer period where it favors one party, we might see more concerted efforts to reform it.


I think its going to be less and less so in the future. I mean I think the EC will still favor Republicans, but its not going to keep making a difference unless something drastically changes in american voting patterns or demographics. Those 70k votes that got Trump the EC is a pretty slim margin, I think its just as likely that Republicans begin to want election reform several presidential cycles from now as demographics continue to change against them.

Still, I have no damn clue how 2020 will go. Trump has bread a lot of bad blood with his tariff since they hurt far more jobs that depend on foreign steel than steel workers were helped. He gets national points for "he saved these jobs" but in pretty much every case I've looked into the jobs were still shipped overseas and those people aren't going to forget it.

Might just come down to who Democrats put out again, if they put out another Clinton it might not matter.

This post was edited by Thor123422 on Feb 21 2019 05:06pm
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Feb 21 2019 05:16pm
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Feb 21 2019 05:16pm
Quote (Thor123422 @ 21 Feb 2019 19:04)
I think its going to be less and less so in the future. I mean I think the EC will still favor Republicans, but its not going to keep making a difference unless something drastically changes in american voting patterns or demographics. Those 70k votes that got Trump the EC is a pretty slim margin, I think its just as likely that Republicans begin to want election reform several presidential cycles from now as demographics continue to change against them.

Still, I have no damn clue how 2020 will go. Trump has bread a lot of bad blood with his tariff since they hurt far more jobs that depend on foreign steel than steel workers were helped. He gets national points for "he saved these jobs" but in pretty much every case I've looked into the jobs were still shipped overseas and those people aren't going to forget it.

Might just come down to who Democrats put out again, if they put out another Clinton it might not matter.


I agree. I think the democrats can win if they put an good candidate out. But they haven't done that in a long time.
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Feb 21 2019 05:23pm
Quote (ChrisKz @ Feb 21 2019 05:16pm)
I agree. I think the democrats can win if they put an good candidate out. But they haven't done that in a long time.


I mean, if you mean good as 'chance of winning" Obama was probably the best candidate since at least Reagan. He probably would have won even without George Bush riling everybody up against Republicans.
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Feb 21 2019 05:24pm
Quote (Thor123422 @ 21 Feb 2019 19:23)
I mean, if you mean good as 'chance of winning" Obama was probably the best candidate since at least Reagan. He probably would have won even without George Bush riling everybody up against Republicans.


Good candidate sure, but not a good president. I know he is smart and a great man, but he followed the will of his party too much and almost all of what he passed through harmed the country.
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Feb 21 2019 05:27pm
Quote (ChrisKz @ Feb 21 2019 05:24pm)
Good candidate sure, but not a good president. I know he is smart and a great man, but he followed the will of his party too much and almost all of what he passed through harmed the country.


Nah, if I had to guess how Obama and his policies will be seen in 50 years he's definitely going to be top half if not top quarter.
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Feb 21 2019 05:27pm
Maybe. We have yet to observe the long term effects.
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Feb 21 2019 05:29pm
Quote (ChrisKz @ Feb 21 2019 05:27pm)
Maybe. We have yet to observe the long term effects.


Of course its going to take long term, but something would have to come out that was absolutely bonkers terrible for him to sink below top half.
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Feb 21 2019 05:32pm
Quote (Thor123422 @ Feb 21 2019 06:27pm)
Nah, if I had to guess how Obama and his policies will be seen in 50 years he's definitely going to be top half if not top quarter.



Obama had a chance to be a glorious uniter. He was intelligent but he let his divisiveness overtake his good side. He will be remembered as loud and a little ineffective unfortunately.

This post was edited by EndlessSky on Feb 21 2019 05:32pm
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Feb 21 2019 05:36pm
Quote (EndlessSky @ Feb 21 2019 05:32pm)
Obama had a chance to be a glorious uniter. He was intelligent but he let his divisiveness overtake his good side. He will be remembered as loud and a little ineffective unfortunately.


If we didnt have republicans who openly admitted they would oppose whatever he wanted on merit of him wanting it I might agree, but the uncooperativeness of the republicans will overshadow anything obama did to divide the country.

This post was edited by Thor123422 on Feb 21 2019 05:36pm
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