Quote (Goomshill @ 3 Aug 2024 00:18)
Gaining PA to lose WI, yeah maybe
Though I'm not sure how much vance or shapiro will actually help win their own states
Vance's performance was actually quite unimpressive in 2022. I don't think he's a particularly strong candidate or some sort of "blue collar whisperer".
But if Trump has any trouble carrying OH, to the point that Vance would make a difference, he'd be losing the overall election by quite some margin anyway.
Shapiro could well be the running mate who gets Kamala across the finish line in PA. But I would caution against this notion that he's uber popular in PA. A trend in recent years was that gubernatorial races across America saw impressive performances by the incumbent, or the candidate from the incumbent party. The only two exceptions were Hochul in NY and Newsom in CA. By and large, Americans seem to be quite happy with their governors right now. And Shapiro ran against an absolutely awful opponent in 2022. Aaand 2022 was a mini blue wave in the entire Midwest. It's very questionable if these trends would translate to a presidential race with Kamala and Trump at the top of the tickets.
This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Aug 2 2024 04:45pm