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#2661
Nov 5 2020 05:33pm
Quote (Black XistenZ @ Nov 6 2020 12:30am)
Judging by the trends of the ballots which were coming in during the last couple of hours, where the still oustanding ballots are coming from, how many ballots are still outstanding and by how much the current leader is leading, I predict that Trump will win AZ and GA by the skin of his teeth, but that Biden will carry PA (and thus the presidency) relatively comfortably, by a margin of at least 25k votes.



Nevada really taking their time to count rofl
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#2662
Nov 5 2020 05:33pm
Quote (bogie160 @ 5 Nov 2020 17:30)
Lol. Wasn't this what establishment Democrats were begging for the last time around?

yes. they were a big fan of recounts too. Our Constitution is confusing for a lot of people in our country unfortunately
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#2663
Nov 5 2020 05:35pm
Quote (vildmeddans @ 6 Nov 2020 00:33)
Nevada really taking their time to count rofl


Yeah, but Biden is already leading there and a lot of the oustanding ballots are mail and absentee, and should thus also lean Biden. Therefore, I dont think that NV will end up being as close as the other 3 states.

This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Nov 5 2020 05:35pm
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#2664
Nov 5 2020 05:36pm
Quote (Black XistenZ @ Nov 6 2020 12:35am)
Yeah, but Biden is already leading there and a lot of the oustanding ballots are mail and absentee, and should thus also lean Biden. Therefore, I dont think that NV will end up being as close as the other 3.



The election is pretty much over with if biden wins Nevada :D

Edit: my bad i just read that they are going to finish counting through the weekend

This post was edited by vildmeddans on Nov 5 2020 05:37pm
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#2665
Nov 5 2020 05:38pm
Quote (vildmeddans @ Nov 6 2020 12:36pm)
The election is pretty much over with if biden wins Nevada :D


part of me wonders why is it soo close. It seems like the country is perma divided in 2
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#2666
Nov 5 2020 05:38pm
Trump down to 75K lead in PA with 7% outstanding looks grim. PA will be the big focus of fraud accusations imo. AZ's next numbers at 9:00 EST.
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#2667
Nov 5 2020 05:39pm
Quote (Handcuffs @ Nov 5 2020 06:26pm)
I'm not privy on the intricacies of counting ballots, and it understandably takes time to count votes, but I'm genuinely surprised at how long it is taken several states to count the ballots.


https://www.cnn.com/2020/11/04/politics/why-mail-in-ballots-were-counted-late-in-states-like-pennsylvania-and-michigan/index.html

Quote
A big reason for the delay: Laws in each state barred election officials from getting a head start on processing and counting the record number of mail-in ballots voters used amid the Covid-19 pandemic.
Take Pennsylvania. The Republican-controlled legislature refused to change state law to allow county election officials to start processing mail-in ballots until 7 a.m. on Election Day. That left local election officials with mountains of absentee ballots to process and count on top of the in-person vote cast on Tuesday.

Overall, Pennsylvania received nearly 2.6 million mail-in ballots, according to the state's election website. Officials say that's 10 times the number of absentee ballots it receives in a normal election. In the Democratic stronghold of Philadelphia alone, officials received more than 350,000 absentee ballots that they could not start processing until polls opened Tuesday.

...

The short window to process mail-in ballots in states such Pennsylvania and Michigan stands in sharp contrast to Florida, where officials began processing ballots weeks before Election Day, allowing them to swiftly report results.


This post was edited by Mangix on Nov 5 2020 05:41pm
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#2668
Nov 5 2020 05:40pm
Quote (vildmeddans @ 6 Nov 2020 00:36)
The election is pretty much over with if biden wins Nevada :D


It's not. There remaining scenarios in which Nevada plays a role are all very unlikely at this point. It will come down to PA in the end, where Biden is more likely to win than in NC/GA/AZ.

Biden wins PA, game over for Trump. Trump wins PA and GA, he still needs either NV or AZ. And like I said: Biden's leading margin has narrowed since yesterday the more votes are counted in AZ, while his leading margin is expanding the more votes were counted today in NV.

This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Nov 5 2020 05:42pm
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#2669
Nov 5 2020 05:43pm
Quote (Black XistenZ @ Nov 6 2020 12:40am)
It's not. There remaining scenarios in which Nevada plays a role are all very unlikely at this point. It will come down to PA in the end, where Biden is more likely to win than in NC/GA/AZ.

Biden wins PA, game over for Trump. Trump wins PA and GA, he still needs either NV or AZ. And like I said: Biden's leading margin has narrowed since yesterday the more votes are counted, while his leading margin is expanding the more votes were counted today in NV.



fair enough :D i mean cant we all agree that the tension is killing us :D
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#2670
Nov 5 2020 05:45pm
Quote (Black XistenZ @ Nov 5 2020 06:30pm)
Judging by the trends of the ballots which were coming in during the last couple of hours, where the still oustanding ballots are coming from, how many ballots are still outstanding and by how much the current leader is leading, I predict that Trump will win AZ and GA by the skin of his teeth, but that Biden will carry PA (and thus the presidency) relatively comfortably, by a margin of at least 25k votes.


I doubt Trump will win AZ. Actually, the decision desk at Fox called it and they made a similar call to this for Obama in 2012 (they called Ohio early for Obama). A couple of Fox hosts complained about the early call but the decision desk stuck to it and it turned out to be correct. I think they probably have some viable reason to call AZ that early. They probably have a talented decision desk team (I think Fox gets most of its reputation from its opinion hosts). This is just my opinion :)

also, AP called it early also and no one seems to be retracting this call yet.

This post was edited by umeshieee on Nov 5 2020 05:47pm
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