your SDS is showing.

You're going to be firmly in what I've often seen referred to as "the kiddy pool" by real scientists with statistics backgrounds.

Just enough to be dangerous, knowing how to do regressions and basic analysis, but not enough of a background to really understand the weakness of the methods you employ.

This post was edited by Thor123422 on Mar 29 2020 12:56pm

Someone give me the real facts what's the mortality rate for a normal person not an elderly with 37 health conditions and a compromised immune system already, what are the facts how likely am I to get it and how likely am I to die and apparently some people get it but dont have symptoms

they're going to die - 100%

Instead of dick riding me try to stick to the discussion? Feel free to point out mistakes in the math or logic and make counterpoints, otherwise sit down and shut up.

Nah, I'll continue to point out your arrogance when it shows itself. You know just enough statistics to use tools but not enough statistics to understand why you use them or where the weaknesses are. And I don't expect you will ever go out of your way to learn where the weaknesses are because you are lazy.

Obviously they can't DO that or they would. So instead they fall back on attacking various words in your statements, and if that doesn't work, they will move on to what they perceive as your character flaws... even though they've never met you.





/e





Ah, it seems we're already far into phase two of their attacks.

This post was edited by Ghot on Mar 29 2020 01:05pm

imagine having the audacity to not only believe a petulant child, bitching about too little positive feedback, over health experts, administrators at the front lines of this crisis, and scientists - but to also pretend that's the reasonable and logical position to hold. the trump cult has produced some truly bizarre mental conditions...

Imagine thinking you are an expert on American politics, when you... aren't American, or have never even been a US citizen. Assuming all the time that the only accurate information on US politics, ONLY comes from schools in non-US countries.

Most of the data inputs come with decently sized uncertainties. Vent length of stay of 10 days seems pretty short, over here they adjusted modeling because the average is 3 weeks.

I think it'd be better to have a range of inputs and plot with confidence intervals. And I expect there are more sophisticated models out there than this one.