Quote (Black XistenZ @ 29 Nov 2018 13:58)
which leverage is it that the U.S. holds against Saudi-Arabia? the chinese and the europeans would happily buy the saudi oil in case of an american boycott. the saudis would happily buy russian weapons if the US decide to enact an embargo. the US cant invade saudi-arabia without triggering a war of epic proportions, and potentially also a religious war between christianity and islam.
yes, we could and should be more tough on the saudis, but only in babysteps/on minor issues. I really dont see the big leverage that could be used to force a radical course correction onto the saudis.
Saudia Arabia represents 9% of our oil barrel imports, and that number has been dwindling over time as we import more and more from Canada and our domestic supply grows. 9% is a big number when talking about oil imports to the biggest energy consumer in the world, but they aren't as big of a player in US oil as many might think. For reference, Canda represents 40% of our imports.
We do have significant, billion dollar arms deals with Saudi Arabia, but those deals are mutually beneficial, and I think we could maintain those deals while still punishing them for this offense.
I could be wrong, and our relationship is clearly complicated with Saudi Arabia. I just think Trump's response has been rather weak and he could be stronger while still maintaining key political and financial alliances with the country.
More importantly, I do think it is possible that he could accept the CIA's conclusions about Khashoggi's murder and also present a logical argument to not let that interfere with our key financial relationships. I think that's a better alternative than rejecting his own intelligence's conclusions.