Those NYT polls spell doom for Trump. Sure, polls have almost always underestimated Republicans in Florida the last few cycles, so a 3 point deficit there seems relatively "easy" to overcome. But Wisconsin seems gone, and trailing by 6 in both AZ and PA is pretty much insurmountable for Trump. In particular when we keep in mind that these two states have a very different and uncorrelated electorate. If accurate, these polls suggest that Trump would have to way overperform with both suburbanites/latinos and WWC voters, at the same time.

Honestly, I feel like the NYT/Sienna polls have been a bit too rosy for Biden all campaign long. Imho, Trump is behind by 2.5 to 4 in Arizona, and by 4 to 5 in Pennsylvania. A Biden lead of 6 in both seems a tad too high if you ask me. Still looking really good/bad for Biden/Trump, respectively.

This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Nov 1 2020 09:30am

Yeah, I think these averages are about right.

Like I said, I still expect Trump to carry FL in the end, and to overperform somewhat in PA, but without coming close enough to where court shenanigans could really throw the state to him.

This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Nov 1 2020 09:39am

Really sad state of affairs for us all.

She's far more savvy than she lets on. A lot of her bold or radical moments are deliberate brand building. But she knows when to play it low and not make enemies, like when she voted for Pelosi in the Speaker election.

She has like the #3 most watched stream on twitch now. She knows how to market to the next generation which is severely lacking.

Clearly unfit for office in more ways than one.

This is the same nonsense the left used against Bush.

Are you denying that Biden is repeatedly showing signs of mental decline?

He is on a suicide mission to become president before he dies and appointed a corrupt and phony successor based on race and gender because he thought it would help his chances.