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#2461
Oct 31 2020 08:27pm
Quote (Black XistenZ @ Oct 31 2020 04:25pm)
That's a possibility, but only if he loses this election by a narrow margin.

Also... maybe I'm wrong, but it seems to me that there is quite a bit of "Trump fatigue" among the broader electorate. I think there are ~15% of the electorate who are not hardcore trumpists, but will tentatively cast their vote for him based on negative partisanship more than on enthusiasm for a second Trump term.


And keep in mind that he'd by 78 by the time the 2024 campaign comes around. Would he even want to run again?
Aaaaand there will probably be several processes waiting for him in SDNY once his term and thus his immunity end. Chances imho are decent that stuff comes out which disqualifies him.


He'll probably continue to rail on twitter, shit all over the Biden administration 24/7, perhaps continue his rallies for some time - but not much else.


The GOP would need to institute some primary reform I think. If he ran in 2024, I think he'd get AT LEAST 30-40% of the primary vote. Biden is 78 right now so it's not too farfetched that Trump would run.

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#2462
Oct 31 2020 08:45pm
Quote (thundercock @ Oct 31 2020 07:27pm)
The GOP would need to institute some primary reform I think. If he ran in 2024, I think he'd get AT LEAST 30-40% of the primary vote. Biden is 78 right now so it's not too farfetched that Trump would run.


I'm ready for President Jerry Brown.
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#2463
Oct 31 2020 08:49pm
Quote (inkanddagger @ Oct 31 2020 10:45pm)
I'm ready for President Jerry Brown.


AOC
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#2464
Oct 31 2020 08:55pm
Quote (Skinned @ Oct 31 2020 07:49pm)
AOC


She's an illegal immigrant and not eligible for the presidency.
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#2465
Oct 31 2020 09:07pm
This post is a violation of the site rules and appropriate action was taken.

Quote (Skinned @ Oct 31 2020 07:49pm)
AOC


would fuck her face.
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#2466
Oct 31 2020 10:33pm
Quote (proccy @ Oct 31 2020 11:07pm)
would fuck her face.


yep
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#2467
Nov 1 2020 04:35am
Quote (thundercock @ 1 Nov 2020 03:27)
The GOP would need to institute some primary reform I think. If he ran in 2024, I think he'd get AT LEAST 30-40% of the primary vote. Biden is 78 right now so it's not too farfetched that Trump would run.


I really dont think that Trump would crack 30% in 2024 after having lost badly in 2020, say by 7% or more.




Biden only got the nomination because the Democratic party was desperately looking for a white man with the following properties:
- national name recognition
- appeal with African Americans
- a reputation as a (relative) moderate.

Biden was the only candidate who checked all three boxes.

I've said this time and time again: the party waited until the very last second whether some other alternative would emerge. The party only coalesced around Biden when it had become clear that he really was the only remaining alternative to Bernie.



tldr: Biden getting the Democratic nomination in 2020 at age 78 was an absolute aberration.

This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Nov 1 2020 04:38am
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#2468
Nov 1 2020 06:07am
Quote (Skinned @ Nov 1 2020 03:49am)
AOC


So you scored another woke point, congratulations

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#2469
Nov 1 2020 08:38am
Quote (Djunior @ Nov 1 2020 07:07am)
So you scored another woke point, congratulations


She is the rockstar of the party.
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#2470
Nov 1 2020 09:17am
https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1322682963402915841

Thread on Selzer poll of Iowa, showing Trump up 7.


New NYT polls out this morning:
https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1322865042468048898

Quote
Joe Biden leads Donald Trump in the four states likeliest to decide the presidency, according to the final Times/Siena surveys of the campaign
Ariz.: Biden 49, Trump 43
Florida: Biden 47, Trump 44
Penn.: Biden 49, Trump 43
Wisc: Biden 52, Trump 42

Quote
“In Wisconsin, voters who did not cast a ballot in 2016 favor Mr. Biden by 19 points. They have a similarly lopsided preference in Florida, where Biden leads by 17. The advantage with people who sat out 2016 is 12 points in Pennsylvania and 7 points in AZ”
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