The polls aren't really tightening and yesterday had a record number of new COVID cases.

But okay.

Depends on which polls end up being right.

Trump is loading up on endorsements. Corruption allegations against the Biden crime syndicate are spreading. The economy is doing well. Riots in PA driving voters home.

Odds are 65/35, lmk if you want a fg bet on those odds.

538 gave Trump a 28.6% chance in 2016. Right now they're giving him a 10% chance. I'm not feeling comfortable but it's hard to see how Trump wins this.

No, nothing is "spreading", excepted some pathetic false information attempts.
There's no "her emails", there's no Comey's gaffe. And it's only 4 days.
There's no more "Mexico will pay for it" and no more "He's like us".

I bet all my FG on Biden, can you follow ? I guess you will dodge.

yea.. cuz rudy says so

Polls were moving in Trump's favor for a couple of days in Florida, Texas, Pennsylvania and North Carolina. But since then, his polls have worsened in Georgia, Iowa, Wisconsin, Michigan and Arizona, while Biden held steady at a more than 5% lead in all-important Pennsylvania.

At this point, Trump only has one tenuous path left: hold Florida, Georgia and Ohio (should be relatively easy), hang on in North Carolina and Arizona, and then find some way to win Pennsylvania. He might have a chance in Nevada, but that's not gonna help him too much without PA. And the problem with PA is that it's a very polarized state, finding the votes to overcome a 5% deficit is harder there than in more elastic states.

This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Oct 31 2020 02:28pm

His last effort is the courts and governors. Hes also trying to get state governments loyal to him to throw out electors, including in Pennsylvania.

I wouldnt worry about fucking around with electors. That's a bridge too far, even for Trump and his cronies in the states.
Courts throwing out mail votes in a way that benefits him is the much more promising/dangerous path to stealing this election.

I don't see why you would think anything is a bridge too far for Trump. Every time somebody has claimed that Trump made a point to smash through it at full force.