Meanwhile, in Spain:
Andalucía had their regional elections today. For the first time since democracy was re-established 40 years ago, the left has lost absolute majority in this region. Centre-left PSOE has always governed here, either alone, with support of the far-left or with support of centrists. But this time, PSOE is 1 seat away from reaching majority with the centrist C's and 5 away from doing so with the alt-left party AA/UP (the andalusian branch of Podemos). On the other hand, right wing PP, centrist C's and alt-right conservative VOX do add up to an absolute majority. If C's and VOX can reconcile their differences, it's likely that Andalucía will have a right wing government for the first time ever, meaning they would stop being the only region in Spain that has always stayed on one side of a political spectrum and always ruled by the same party. If not, then there will likely be an electoral repeat.
This is a huge loss for the national government led by Pedro Sánchez, and a massive surprise literally not even the the most biased right-wing polls were expecting.
But the big news here is VOX. Pretty much out of nowhere, they's achieved 10% of the votes, winning 12 of the 109 seats in the regional parliament. Granted that a record low turnout has really helped them and it was also expected that they'd receive a lot of protest votes from PP, because literally everyone expected PSOE to hold on to the government, and lots of right-wingers were saying they'd vote VOX just to make a protest statement, but 12 seats is absolutely huge. They are a right-wing national conservative party. It's hard to accurately define it, as there seem to be two factions... the conservative one that calls for a defense of traditional family and catholic values, and the alt-right populist and nationalist one that applauds the likes of Trump, Bolsonaro and Salvini. Their leader, Santiago Abascal, praises pretty much all of the national-conservative and alt-right leaders around the world, but claimes Viktor Orbán is his biggest inspriation (because Le Pen is a protectionist/statist, Trump is too much of a show-man, and Salvini is a regionalist that supports catalan independence), and wants Spain to align itself woith the Visegrad group.
And it's precisely the catalan issue that has lead to the rise of this party. It's not really immigration or euroscepticism, like in other countries, it's the desire for a more centralized and strong national goverement. Although in the end it all boils down to the same thing: a protest vote against what a society considers soft policies (in this case, against illegal separatist coups, in other countries it's immigration or national sovereignty). It will be interesting to see how thing evolves on a national scale. I don't think VOX will gather that much support nationwide, but they'll definitely make it into the partliament, meaning that we'll have a party to the right of PP for the first time since democracy was re-established (you can technically count a pro-Francoist party that managed to get 1 seat in the fist elections, as a far-right party, but they were very interventionist and pro-workers rights, which the neoliberal VOX is definitely not). I should add, that VOX's proposals about Catalonia are nonsensical populism, like modifying the constitution to eliminate regional autonomism, which is something you can't do without 67% of the parliament's vote and a followup nationwide referendum, which is definitely not happening.
This post was edited by zarkadon on Dec 2 2018 06:27pm