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Poll > Trump 2016 > Trump Vs Clinton
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Aug 18 2018 11:10am
Quote (IgoSoHard @ Aug 18 2018 01:05pm)
Someone has to keep the dream alive for the trump derangement syndrome squad


When the democrats (probably) take the house the November, pressure on the president to be held accountable will be dialed up to a level not even remotely seen right now.
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Aug 18 2018 11:16am
Quote (Horford @ 18 Aug 2018 18:04)
He will absolutely resign if his closest allies/"friends" convince him, Trump can be stubborn, but easily persuaded by people he admires.


Yep but maybe it's more secure for him (and a part of his allies) to stay president, even if there's a "nigger" tape released and growing evidences & indictments regarding russia.
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Aug 18 2018 11:18am
Quote (Horford @ Aug 18 2018 01:10pm)
When the democrats (probably) take the house the November, pressure on the president to be held accountable will be dialed up to a level not even remotely seen right now.


Most Dems have been crying 24/7 for the past two years, including every major newspaper. It wouldnt be any different
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Aug 18 2018 12:01pm
Quote (Saucisson6000 @ Aug 18 2018 01:46pm)
Yep but maybe it's more secure for him (and a part of his allies) to stay president, even if there's a "nigger" tape released and growing evidences & indictments regarding russia.



This is apparently the 3rd or 4th nigger tape on trump. hell, i have a nigger tape of trump wheres my interview with cnn?
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Aug 18 2018 12:02pm
Quote (Saucisson6000 @ Aug 18 2018 06:16pm)
Yep but maybe it's more secure for him (and a part of his allies) to stay president, even if there's a "nigger" tape released and growing evidences & indictments regarding russia.


Reported. You're not allowed to say that word, white boy.

Also, there is no tape. It's just another fantasy, kind of like the whole Russia witchhunt. If the tape existed, it would have been released ages ago and would be plastered 24/7 on every media site for the next year. It doesn't exist. Even the people who Omarosa supposedly said heard Trump directly have come on the record to say it's not true.

Basically just the left grasping at straws since Trump is way too smart and effective for them. Reminds me of this pathetic tweet, lol

https://twitter.com/HuffPost/status/1018290098503340033
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Aug 18 2018 12:04pm
Quote (Voyaging @ 18 Aug 2018 18:58)
Vegas odds are roughly 72/28 in favor of Trump serving a full term.


which honestly is quite atrocious... 28% chance he leaves office during the next 2 years - well, according to the Vegas bookmakers...
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Aug 18 2018 12:05pm
Quote (Black XistenZ @ Aug 18 2018 02:04pm)
which honestly is quite atrocious... 28% chance he leaves office during the next 2 years - well, according to the Vegas bookmakers...


Sounds like free money we should all place bets
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Aug 18 2018 12:08pm
Quote (EndlessSky @ Aug 18 2018 07:05pm)
Sounds like free money we should all place bets


Already made a fortune betting on Trump to win the general. May just have to reinvest that money and place a bet on this too.

Bookmaker's are generally quite accurate, but with politics they often make the mistake of basing their odds on what the media is saying. This results in their odds being skewed by liberal bias. I mean, even when Trump was getting crowds of 35,000 people on a daily basis and was destined to win the Republican primary, they still had him at like 10:1 to win the general.

Pretty similar case when it came to Brexit. Still kind of regret not betting on that. I'm almost certain betting on the conservative outcome when the odds are really good is going to be +EV in most cases.

This post was edited by EA7 on Aug 18 2018 12:10pm
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Aug 18 2018 12:22pm
Quote (EA7 @ 18 Aug 2018 20:08)
Already made a fortune betting on Trump to win the general. May just have to reinvest that money and place a bet on this too.

Bookmaker's are generally quite accurate, but with politics they often make the mistake of basing their odds on what the media is saying. This results in their odds being skewed by liberal bias. I mean, even when Trump was getting crowds of 35,000 people on a daily basis and was destined to win the Republican primary, they still had him at like 10:1 to win the general.

Pretty similar case when it came to Brexit. Still kind of regret not betting on that. I'm almost certain betting on the conservative outcome when the odds are really good is going to be +EV in most cases.


I dont think so. Bookmakers are professionals who want to make money, not bet on their personal preferred political outcome. If they made a mistake in the sense of having underestimated certain conservative outcomes, they will eventually analyze the reasons behind their liberal bias and adjust their models accordingly. I dont think that they will keep on making the same mistake over and over again.


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Aug 18 2018 01:28pm
https://www.cnbc.com/2018/08/17/trump-pushes-for-an-end-to-quarterly-earnings-reports.html]

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1030416679069777921

Quote
In speaking with some of the world’s top business leaders I asked what it is that would make business (jobs) even better in the U.S. “Stop quarterly reporting & go to a six month system,” said one. That would allow greater flexibility & save money. I have asked the SEC to study!


Not bad imo but it feels a bit ineffective. 6mo reports isn't going to change that much. For the mentality to change, there has to be incentive. Short term trading should become less profitable.
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