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Oct 12 2020 06:31pm
https://mobile.twitter.com/TrumpJew/status/1315685979668312070
luckily for biden that romney is a mormon. imagine if he said “the muslim” or “the jew” etc.

ah who are we kidding the media and lefties wouldnt care lmfao
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Oct 12 2020 07:05pm








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Oct 12 2020 08:03pm
Quote (excellence @ Oct 12 2020 08:31pm)
https://mobile.twitter.com/TrumpJew/status/1315685979668312070
luckily for biden that romney is a mormon. imagine if he said “the muslim” or “the jew” etc.

ah who are we kidding the media and lefties wouldnt care lmfao




How tf do you forget Romney’s name. He’s like the only mormon in congress

#peakform
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Oct 12 2020 08:18pm
It's amazing that if you look at fivethirtyeight, this day in 2016:


today in 2020:
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Oct 12 2020 08:20pm
Quote (TB12 @ Oct 12 2020 09:18pm)
It's amazing that if you look at fivethirtyeight, this day in 2016:
https://i.imgur.com/CVIBthb.png

today in 2020:
https://i.imgur.com/YgpGm4S.png


And?

13% chance means more than 1 in 10. Those kinds of odds happen every day.
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Oct 12 2020 08:24pm
Quote (Thor123422 @ Oct 12 2020 10:20pm)
And?

13% chance means more than 1 in 10. Those kinds of odds happen every day.





The polling, the oddsmakers... everything is just like it was in 2016 when they got it wrong.
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Oct 12 2020 08:39pm
Quote (TB12 @ 12 Oct 2020 22:24)
https://media.giphy.com/media/fSYClFsQp8AHkWZexi/giphy.gif


The polling, the oddsmakers... everything is just like it was in 2016 when they got it wrong.

hes a guy who claims to be a doctor but he tortures animals for a living and denies math and science. best to ignore that waste of lefty privilege
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Oct 12 2020 08:51pm
Quote (excellence @ Oct 12 2020 09:39pm)
hes a guy who claims to be a doctor but he tortures animals for a living and denies math and science. best to ignore that waste of lefty privilege


I killed about 30 mice today because I made a mistake on my spreadsheet and we didn't need them.

I brought an extra 30 mice into existence who's only purpose in life was for me to kill.

Isn't animal research amazing?

Quote (TB12 @ Oct 12 2020 09:24pm)
https://media.giphy.com/media/fSYClFsQp8AHkWZexi/giphy.gif

The polling, the oddsmakers... everything is just like it was in 2016 when they got it wrong.


It actually isn't like it was in 2016 though. It only looks that way if you don't actually follow the polls.

Since 2016 models have been updated to be more favorable to Trump by including education as a predictive factor where it wasn't before, they have also increased weighting of rural voters.
Additionally, Biden's lowest national lead is the same as Hillary's was at it's peak. So the best Hillary has ever done is the worst Biden has ever done. He's so much further ahead in polling than Hillary was.
And lastly, polls the week of the election had Trump winning within margin of error, so the polls were accurate.

The lesson from polling in 2016 is that polls are largely accurate, but are only a snapshot, and the only ones that are predictive are the ones immediately before election day, as events can change voting attitudes pretty quickly.
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Oct 12 2020 08:57pm
Still unsure how so many americans fail to realise that a 1% chance is still a chance, the lottery has 1 in a million odds and yet people win them every single day.
Trump had a low chance of pulling off a win, then bernie bros switched sides due to dnc corruption and he got the win, his chance of winning were never zero at any stage so him winning was not anyone "getting it wrong".
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Oct 12 2020 08:57pm
Quote (Thor123422 @ Oct 12 2020 09:51pm)
I killed about 30 mice today because I made a mistake on my spreadsheet and we didn't need them.

I brought an extra 30 mice into existence who's only purpose in life was for me to kill.


Isn't animal research amazing?



It actually isn't like it was in 2016 though. It only looks that way if you don't actually follow the polls.

Since 2016 models have been updated to be more favorable to Trump by including education as a predictive factor where it wasn't before, they have also increased weighting of rural voters.
Additionally, Biden's lowest national lead is the same as Hillary's was at it's peak. So the best Hillary has ever done is the worst Biden has ever done. He's so much further ahead in polling than Hillary was.
And lastly, polls the week of the election had Trump winning within margin of error, so the polls were accurate.

The lesson from polling in 2016 is that polls are largely accurate, but are only a snapshot, and the only ones that are predictive are the ones immediately before election day, as events can change voting attitudes pretty quickly.



Lmao
:ph34r:
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