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Aug 5 2018 04:55pm
Quote (ThatAlex @ 5 Aug 2018 23:21)
It is true that approval rating is one thing and voter enthusiasm is another. They often go hand-in-hand, but Trump could theoretically have a fantastic approval rating with his Republican base but also not get enough people excited to go to the polls. We saw something similar with Clinton in 2016. High approval rating with Democrats (in large part due to partisanship, ie disdain for Trump) but low enthusiasm.

It's also worth noting that Republicans have a more consistent voting base in general so he'd probably receive a reliable turnout regardless.


The bolded part is the key point imho: I think that if Trump pivoted to the middle on immigration and signed some sort of large-scale amnesty or dream act look-alike, his approval ratings with his republican base would go down substantially. Even if he, perhaps, made some gains with other parts of electorate to leave his overall approval ratings stay constant throughout. And those voters from his base that he lost by the pivot would be less inclined to actually show up at the booth in 2020.

Trump both electorally and politically found a "sweet-spot" where he can govern from an entrenched position on the back of an enthusiastic minority. Any break from this delicate equilibrium would worsen his position.
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Aug 5 2018 05:09pm
Quote (Arsenic_Touch @ 5 Aug 2018 17:36)
Stable genius at it again. Now he's channeling yoda.


I also thought this tweet was yet another example of Trump's uniquely stable genius, but it looks like he has a point.

It looks like California has some pretty outdated environmental laws that require water reservoirs to empty their supply (when above 60% capacity) into the Pacific Ocean during winter months of the year in order to catch runoffs and prevent potential flooding.

I believe the idea is that if these laws are overturned, the state could hold onto more water from its reservoirs and potentially use that extra supply to fight wildfires.

I'm not sure about the last part of the tweet (Must also tree clear to stop fire spreading!). I presume he means to create breaks in between tree patches to prevent the spread of wildfires, but I don't know enough about this subject to know if that would work or not.
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Aug 5 2018 05:19pm
Quote (ThatAlex @ Aug 5 2018 04:09pm)
I also thought this tweet was yet another example of Trump's uniquely stable genius, but it looks like he has a point.

It looks like California has some pretty outdated environmental laws that require water reservoirs to empty their supply (when above 60% capacity) into the Pacific Ocean during winter months of the year in order to catch runoffs and prevent potential flooding.

I believe the idea is that if these laws are overturned, the state could hold onto more water from its reservoirs and potentially use that extra supply to fight wildfires.

I'm not sure about the last part of the tweet (Must also tree clear to stop fire spreading!). I presume he means to create breaks in between tree patches to prevent the spread of wildfires, but I don't know enough about this subject to know if that would work or not.


clearing and control burning which is already done to the degree it can be

Trump has been starting fires figuratively within his administration so now he thinks he knows how to stop them literally

he's pandering to loggers and people that think hippies are trying to destroy mankind by trying to treat the earth less shitty, both of which he already has in a blue state for no real reason other than to talk shit

when he should act like a man and a leader and post something thoughtful and supportive during these tough times here in California or nothing at all
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Aug 5 2018 05:57pm
Quote (ThatAlex @ Aug 5 2018 06:09pm)
I also thought this tweet was yet another example of Trump's uniquely stable genius, but it looks like he has a point.

It looks like California has some pretty outdated environmental laws that require water reservoirs to empty their supply (when above 60% capacity) into the Pacific Ocean during winter months of the year in order to catch runoffs and prevent potential flooding.

I believe the idea is that if these laws are overturned, the state could hold onto more water from its reservoirs and potentially use that extra supply to fight wildfires.

I'm not sure about the last part of the tweet (Must also tree clear to stop fire spreading!). I presume he means to create breaks in between tree patches to prevent the spread of wildfires, but I don't know enough about this subject to know if that would work or not.


There are plenty of lakes and reservoirs in the fire zones, not having water isn't the problem. The problem is that through the drought years, it left trees dead from a massive bark beetle infestation.
Combine that with diablo winds rolling in from the north east, gusts as high as 70 mph, and extremely hot temperatures, it is a recipe for disaster that no regulation is going to touch.
We're talking thousands upon thousands of acres of dead land that can't really be cleared given where it's located. California already does controlled burns and the governor called for more back in may, allocating more funding for it.
Last year there were members of his administration blaming environmental lawsuits stopping logging on forest fires in areas that they weren't even set to log in. Hell, I'm surprised he hasn't suggested they start dumping ocean water on the fires.
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Aug 5 2018 10:06pm
Water doesnt solve large forest fires, more frequent small brush fires do

Lefties fail with forests for the same reason they fail with the economy, they are egotistical and they dont trust the natural methods to work
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Aug 6 2018 08:19am
I'm so tired of winning!

https://www.thedailybeast.com/the-trump-slump-hits-us-tourism?
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Aug 6 2018 08:27am


monday morning statement from the President



typing at the speed of Ghot as always

This post was edited by Beowulf on Aug 6 2018 08:28am
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Aug 6 2018 08:29am
Quote (Beowulf @ Aug 6 2018 10:27am)
https://i.imgur.com/jT3W4ys.png

monday morning statement from the President


sounds like Ghot

and what the heck is he referring to about Adam Schiff lmao
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Aug 6 2018 08:42am
Quote (Horford @ Aug 6 2018 08:29am)
sounds like Ghot

and what the heck is he referring to about Adam Schiff lmao


https://nypost.com/2018/02/07/russian-radio-hosts-once-pranked-adam-schiff-with-promise-of-naked-trump-photos/

Quote
Russian radio hosts pranked the top Democrat on the House Intelligence Committee, saying they had compromising images of President Trump, according to a report Tuesday.

The Daily Mail posted audio of the prank pulled last year by Vladimir “Vovan” Kuznetsov and Alexey “Lexus” Stolyarov against Rep. Adam Schiff (D-Calif.).

The Atlantic reported the prank last month, but The Mail story went a step further with purported audio of the joke.

The caller identified himself as Andriy Parubiy, speaker of Ukraine’s parliament, when “Parubiy” was actually both Kuznetsov and Stolyarov.

The pranksters claimed Trump had an affair with Russian model and singer Olga Buzova in 2013.

“She got compromising materials on Trump after their short relations,” the pranksters told Schiff.

“OK, and what’s the nature (of the material)?” Schiff asked.

“Well, there were pictures of naked Trump,” said the pranksters, adding that Russian president Vladimir Putin was aware of the compromising material.

Schiff responded that “obviously we would welcome the chance to get copies.”

A rep for Schiff had earlier told The Atlantic that the call was reported to “appropriate law enforcement and security personnel” because “of our belief that it was probably bogus.”

The Russian pair has pulled similar stunts on Sens. John McCain (R-Ariz.) and Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.).
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Aug 6 2018 08:43am
Quote (Beowulf @ 6 Aug 2018 15:27)
https://i.imgur.com/jT3W4ys.png
monday morning statement from the President
https://i.imgur.com/9ZI1njO.png
typing at the speed of Ghot as always


He's accusing, as president, the old candidate to have colluded with russia

and his source, this... "thing":

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qW0WcFdFVZI

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