Quote (Black XistenZ @ Jul 27 2018 03:49pm)
well, the truth is: politically, Trump lives and falls by the economy. if we enter a sharp recession, he is toast, politically. and if the current boom continues, he will be very hard to beat in 2020 (unless Mueller finds the smoking gun).
also keep in mind the long-term implications: ginsburg is what, 86? and breyer is also over 80 years old. if Trump gets reelected, he has another 6.5 years in office from now on. given their age, chances would be high that Trump is able to replace another liberal supreme court judge with a staunch conservative, which would shift the SCOTUS, and in turn the entire country, firmly to the right for decades.
since an economic downturn inevitably will come sooner or later, I can actually understand the sentiment of liberals who prefer the recession to come before Trump gets reelected. in the end, it's not about eternal boom vs eternal crisis, it's simply a question of the timing of the impending recession.
Economy is always a big part ofc but outside of that Democrats are going to need to get more likeable asap
The Republicans are reliable voters but the younger folks tend to need more motivation and inspiration to show up
The old dems are boring unlikable robots from a different time and the new farther left younger people are deer in the headlights whenever taken outside of their berniesque talking points
Trump is taking hits from all over the place but he is still strong and I believe stronger with the voters. He's doing a lot of what conservatives want and that transfers him from benefit of the doubt candidate to delivering politician in a party that reliably votes
Personally I think they will be able to push the downturn into his early second term when shit starts hitting the fan.
I think the only thing that will stop him is if he turns out getting nailed on something with the investigation which I have serious doubts about, including obstruction which he probably actually is most guilty of