Quote (ThatAlex @ 16 Nov 2018 17:08)
Someone fill me in on this Brexxit mess. I've read a little about it and been semi-keeping up with it. Correct if I'm wrong but my key takeways are:
-Parliamanet is struggling to agree on a Brexxit deal, potentially gridlocked
-Threats of no confidence are being thrown at May but no one is really sure who would take over and lead them out of this mess, so she probably will stay on
-A significant portion of 'leave' voters feel misinformed and a growing amount regret their vote
-There are some talks of having a second referendum but that seems politically difficult to accomplish
-Staunch Conservatives would be more than happy if no deal occurs in spite of harsh penalties because that would result in a 'harder' exit from the EU
-The UK is a political shitshow right now and no one really knows what will happen next
mostly correct. If May is ousted in a vote of no confidence, she would remain in office as acting PM until a new general election has taken place - but there is no way this election could be done with before March 2019, that is, before the Brexit deadline. So no matter if May is getting the axe from her party or not, she will by all accounts remain in office until this Brexit thing is over.
A lot of "Leavers" feel misinformed, but there is conflicting data on how many of them would actually change their vote in case of a 2nd referendum. About 2 months ago, I read somewhere that the public opinion has shifted to 48:52 (leave/remain), from 52:48 during the original referendum in 2016.
So it looks likely that a new referendum would result in a narrow vote for cancelling this whole thing. But that's the key point: a
narrow majority. The country is still relatively evenly divided, there is no
overwhelming majority against Brexit.
So in my opinion, holding another referendum would only deepen the divides even further and lead to even more polarization, bitterness and chaos.
This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Nov 16 2018 10:39am