Quote (Black XistenZ @ Jul 17 2018 05:10pm)
For the collusion theory to work, we need two big assumptions:
First, that Trump colluded with russia for whatever reason and in whatever capacity. And second, that Putin preferred to get a propaganda win/nice words from Trump in Helsinki over Trump being complicit in Putin achieving his strategic goals.
To elaborate on this second point: Putin is a smart guy who knows that Trump can be much more soft on Russia-related issues if the domestic pressure is low; and that the way Trump handled the press conference would increase this domestic pressure. So yes, this summit was good for Putin's ego and propaganda. But under the assumption that Trump is colluding with him and wants to play into Russia's hands, the way the summit went down was a setback for Putin's strategic interests since Trump will now be forced to be tougher on Russia than ever before. Since Putin is known to be a cold-blooded and cunning strategist, this assumption that he preferred looks over substance is quite a big and debatable one.
For my theory of Trump being narcissistic, we need zero assumptions: Trump has been a prominent public figure for all his adult life, we have decades of material that proves him to be an insecure narcissist. And there is no denying that the assertion of russian meddling with the 2016 election does undermine his presidency.
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To sum it up, the collusion theory requires two big and not yet verifiable assumptions to work, while my narcissism theory requires zero assumptions. By occam's razor, the logical thing to do is to default on the narcissism theory until further evidence pops up.
Putin wants Trump to help with his strategic goals... I'm saying Trump isn't able politically to follow through on his assurances(like lifting sanctions), so Trump feels insecure around Putin, and feels the need to suck up to him.
I don't think Trump can always anticipate what media reaction is going to be. There was some reporting that he was surprised at the backlash, especially from his allies like Newt Gingrich. He lives in a world of Hannity, Breitbart, and Infowars, so he doesn't understand what reality-based people think.
The narcissistic theory falls short though, because Trump wasn't able to call out Putin or say a single negative word about him before the election meddling was known. He was willing to talk tough on practically everyone overseas... but for some reason he never did with Putin.
Quote (Goomshill @ Jul 17 2018 05:38pm)
Goom, the guy who endlessly bitches about anonymous sources and fake news, posts an article from Bloomberg, which has 2 anonymous sources claiming that Trump made the choice to release the Mueller indictments against Russians before the summit, even though he repudiated the findings time and time again overseas. Especially in the Putin press conference.
Are we pretending the press conference didn't happen? The idea that this guy was trying to use the indictments as leverage is laughable.