Quote (ofthevoid @ Oct 16 2023 03:20pm)
Israel's right to exist and acknowledgement of Jerusalem as the capital is so fundamental in this equation that nothing will work if this isn't the base of the agreement.
For example, let's say Israel today is ready to say yes to a 2-state solution. You know what it means to be a state right? You have the right to control your borders, you have the right to trade and do whatever you want with your neighbors, etc. So in theory once Israel ceases to control Gaza/West bank borders, Iran & other Jew haters can flood the region with weapons if Palestine is willing. Palestinians have to basically have a resounding and clear show that this won't happen with the surrounding Muslims being guarantors. But how do you expect this to happen when literally 28 muslim countries refuse to acknowledge their right as a country?
Why would Israel expose themselves like that? The ball has been in the Muslims & Palestinians court for quiet a while. So many of us want to completely ignore this fact.
That kind of goes to the 'security guarantee' part of the equation. It used to be somewhat branched off and counted as a separate issue, but its part of both the "Israel's right to exist"
and "Palestines right to sovereignty" at the same time. The idea that for Israel to agree to a two-state solution, they must be guaranteed Palestine won't arm itself as a hostile power on its doorstep from its Arab allies- but for Palestine to exist as a sovereign entity it has to have a right to its own security and policing and even a plausible standing army. The two state solution was always such a pipedream that the minutia were never worked out but supposedly it could have emulated post WW2 Japan with Israel having an oversight of Palestinian arms but allowing them to grow eventually into their own power again.
This is the issue that got completely thrown out the window, lit on fire, shot and poisoned and exposed to a cosmic gamma ray burst isolated entirely in a beam aimed directly at its forehead. There is no imaginable world in the next
century where Israel could possibly agree to any Palestinian entity existing with its own force of arms on Israel's doorstep. Until last week, Israel's qualms over the militancy of Palestinians was largely theoretical. That is to say, they've had terrorist attacks, low level shootings and car rammings and widescale barrages of impotent rockets, they've had historical wars, but the idea that a Palestinian army could pose an existential threat to them instead of just being a relative nuisance- that was just the predictions of doomsayers. Who turned out to be right.