Quote (thundercock @ 5 Nov 2019 06:59)
Murkowski and Sasse. Granted, public testimony can change that (ayes could turn to nays and vice versa).
I really dont think that Sasse, who's running for reelection in 2020 in deep-red Nebraska, would vote against Trump, unless he doesnt intend on running for reelection anyway.
Murkowski... I dont think that she could survive voting for impeachment. Ok, Alaska is not a suuuper 'trumpy' state, but still clearly conservative. She already had a political near-death experience in 2010 when she got primaried by a more conservative guy and only barely won the general election as a write-in candidate.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2010_United_States_Senate_election_in_AlaskaBasically, Murkowski being perceived as insufficiently conservative by the Alaska GOP base has gotten her into huge electoral trouble before, I doubt that she could survive a vote to remove Trump from office. Note that the Republican healthcare bill/Obamacare repeal attempt in 2017 would objectively have fucked Alaska over and thus was quite unpopular there, so her voting against it was something totally different.