Quote (Thebarba @ Sep 1 2024 04:15am)
My prediction is that Trump will lose.
He will be way ahead in day-of, in-person voting.
The following states will be called for Trump:
Alaska, Idaho, Utah, Montana, Wyoming, Nevada, North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska Dist 1/3, Kansas, Oklahoma, Texas, Iowa, Missouri, Arkansas, Louisiana, Indiana, Kentucky, Tennessee, Mississippi, Alabama, Florida, South Carolina, North Carolina, West Virginia, and Maine Dist2.
The following states will be called for Harris:
Hawaii, Washington, Oregon, California, Colorado, New Mexico, Nebraska Dist 2, Minnesota, Virginia, Maryland, New Jersey, New York, Vermont, Rhode Island, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, DC, and Maine Dist1/3.
This leaves the tally at Harris 226, Trump 241.
So that just leaves razor-thin margins in swing states:
Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania, Georgia, and Arizona. By midnight on election day, Trump will be leading by less than 1% in Arizona, Pennsylvania, and Georgia. Harris will be leading by less than 1% in Michigan and Wisconsin.
In the end, Harris will win all 5 of these states, either after a middle of the night mail-in ballot dump that is 99% for Harris somehow, or a days long "look, we found more votes lol" slow trickle that also happen to be 99% for Harris somehow. Harris will get "the most votes in history" somehow, and it will be declared "the most fair election ever." Republicucks will declare we'll get 'em next time guys, just need to pander more to hispanics or something. It went off perfectly before, why change the playbook this time around?
Oh and that's not even the best part. Harris's administration will be way more "Republican" than Trump's would've. Deportations and border controls will increase. Legal immigration will decrease. Wars and defense spending will increase. Interest rates will continue to favor the status quo, the housing market will never crash and only get ever more inaccessible. Inflation will continue to increase, albeit not quite as fast as Biden's first 3 years.
Would be crazy if he lost the swing states do to counting fuckery like 2020, but flipped a liberal state they had no idea that they needed rigging efforts in.