Quote (Black XistenZ @ May 3 2023 02:49pm)
Automation is challenge for our usual economic policy paradigm. In the era from 1850 up until some point in the 70s or 80s, productivity gains came from technological innovation and yielded better products or a more efficient production. Simply put, we were producing more and/or better shit per working hour, which directly benefitted workers. Suddenly, a fridge, a TV or a car were affordable, or better than the previous models. But over the past 50 years, technological innovation has slowed down in most sectors and productivity gains are increasingly achieved by cost cutting on the worker side (outsourcing, automation).
Globalization at least produces an aspiring middle class in developing countries, but automation by default sees all the productivity gains go to the capital side. To balance this out and spread the gains across all of society, the state would have to directly intervene by imposing a machine tax or tariffs.
I had this discussion with Ghot forever ago, nearly 10 years now. and tried to explain the difference between the terms "worker displacement" and "worker replacement". wherein displacement a worker who has their job completely replaced by automation (baseball seamer, nail and horse shoe smith, etc) can use the same job skills to find a new job. but in replacement cases the worker is left with first far fewer opportunities than what were replaced (sparse unemployment) and eventually no opportunities (rust belt levels of perpetual unemployment).
UBI has no place in modern america, but is a necessity in 20 years, maybe sooner.
and just like social security you need to start collecting before you start paying or it will fail. and we're already too late to make the economics work.
we'll see widespread protests in the next 10 years, truckers, fast food workers, retail workers, factory workers, etc. It's gonna get nasty.