Quote (NetflixAdaptationWidow @ 28 Oct 2022 07:12)
"but higher wages will lead to an inflation spiral!!!!"
That's an argument that at least I never made. Arguing like that is really stupid in the current situation, where we have multiple overlapping supply-side shocks to the economy.
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Wages not even keeping up with inflation for the past 60 years and inflation still being a problem while corporate profits account for over half the increase in prices.
Profits of oil and gas companies are bound to go up when global prices for oil and natural gas surge. There is definitely some degree of price gauging on top of that, but it would be a mistake to assume that all the recent gains in corporate profits are coming from nefarious, intentional manipulation. A big chunk are just windfall profits. (Which should be taxed appropriately...)
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I mean, it definitely isn't great. The entire world economy is in the shitter right now. America is getting off light compared to.... basically everywhere else. For the record, I attribute that to our status as the reserve currency and not any particular policy.
I would ascribe it to two factors:
1. the US economy was particularly hot when covid hit, and was among the first to reopen. This has allowed the FED to be the first major central bank to end the era of ultra-expansive fiscal policy. This headstart on interest rates, in turn, has caused the USD to appreciate relative to most other currencies, which mitigated inflation in the US (most of the current inflation is coming from expensive energy imports). This effect would have happened even if the USD was not the world's reserve currency.
2. the US are a major producer of commodities like oil, gas and grain, so that they have to cover a smaller share of their demand via imports than Europe, Japan or Africa.
This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Oct 27 2022 11:45pm