Quote (IceMage @ 17 Aug 2024 18:41)
I think the superficial vibes and policy vibes both matter.
But we shouldn't underestimate the share of voters who were "double-haters" when it was Trump vs Biden, and thus will choose Harris, and not necessarily because of policy.
There might also be swing voters who were okay with Biden, but dislike Kamala. The set of "double-haters" for the Trump/Harris matchup isn't necessarily identical with that for Trump/Biden, nor are the two necessarily the same size.