Quote (Goomshill @ Mar 2 2022 07:08am)
I'd say even through the uncertainty of war propaganda, its pretty clear that Kharkiv is getting shelled enough to destroy infrastructure and reduce chunks of the city to rubble.
Putin no doubt wanted to take Ukraine as his prize as intact as possible, just clearing out the western agents and government.
Its not hard to imagine that Kharkiv is being used as a brutal example right now. Willing to destroy a city to convince the rest of Ukraine to surrender.
How destructive will this war have to become before its resolved? The flood of weapons into Ukraine could make it far worse and prolong it. More likely, we're just going to see increasing death tolls and leveled buildings before the Ukrainian government just collapses and Russian troops finish their takeover unopposed.
This isn't going to end with a Ukrainian victory, and NATO isn't going to intervene directly. We're building a new Syrian War. What interests of ours are served with this bloody half measure? How many dead Ukrainians will it take to 'save democracy'?
I would have agreed with this in the absence of major sanctions, but it's clear there's no way they can afford a protracted war without their central bank reserves and banking system in tatters
If they don't wrap this up conclusively within a couple of months we could see economic collapse in Russia and a forced withdrawal of troops. If we do introduce oil and gas ceilings, or temporary freezes on purchases, it would precipitate the collapse even faster
The West know this and will now aim to drag out this war as long as possible to get rid of Putin's regime, which is probably worse for Ukraine in the short - medium term. The end result of this is The West wins, Russia and Ukraine lose