Quote (Norlander @ Feb 28 2022 09:40pm)
Looks like teh leet paint skills or I feel sorry for him, that head is too large and required a custom helm.
Its a poor photoshop, Kinzinger fell for it anyway
Quote (bogie160 @ Feb 28 2022 10:04pm)
But it won't greatly empower the yuan, because Russia's economy is significantly smaller than that of Italy. The military technology, from an intellectual property standpoint, was ceded to China long ago. It's actual military is struggling to complete a conquest of Ukraine, which I didn't believe they'd do in the first place because it's so foolish. It now exists as a resource hub for East and West, and whether that flow is in dollars or yuan is not of significant consequence. Chinese banks that do business with the West have already begun to disassociate with Russia in order to comply with US sanctions. China needs Europe to do business in yuan, and there's no real desire for Europe to go down that path. They need East Asia to do dollars in yuan, and yet East Asia from the Koreas to Japan, Taiwan to Singapore, and Vietnam through the Philippines are all desperate to avoid Chinese overlordship. It's as Machiavelli wrote, when dealing with small and big powers, you aid the smaller powers against the more threatening adversary. China is surrounded by smaller powers that want to check its advance. Aside from Cuba, the United States does not really have that problem.
It was still 10-20 years too early for China to take a stand on the world stage. The United States passed the United Kingdom in GDP sometime in 1871, but it wasn't until decades later that the United States became a true world power, and decades after that that the United States achieved hegemony. China needed to allow its economy to grow without American interference, which it was doing before Xi flexed to secure his own rule. It will go down as a severe miscalculation.
Russia is a much much larger economy than Italy. The comparisons only come when you look at GDP-USD instead of GDP-PPP, when the Ruble is deflated due to the oil market crashing years ago or now due to sanctions. In terms of actual purchasing power, not to mention actual physical production and energy and all those other metrics based on reality rather than economic confabulation, Russia is still a world superpower economy right up there with the USA, China, India, Germany and Japan. Russia might be #5 or #6, but Italy is #13 or something. Its still obviously a petroeconomy, those energy exports are what prop it up. They're obviously more diversified than something like the KSA/UAE, but not comparable to other superpowers.
Russia swinging to the Yuan would still be a huge deal because of that. Even if Europe won't, one of the world superpowers switching from a petrodollar to petroyuan would be the kind of catalyst that could send those other east asian countries into a trajectory towards the Yuan even if they don't want it. America being too liberal with its control of the dollar and weaponizing it too lightly is impetus for oligarchs of the world to grow exceedingly cautious about the dollar. And China has already begun slowly down its foreign investments and debt operations around the world in the past 2-5 years to start limiting its exposure to the US dollar. That was a huge point for concern even before this Ukrainian crisis.
We're seeing all the signals and stage setting necessary for the US to lose control of the world oil trade. Russia could be the largest domino that knocks down the others. The Chinese hegemony might be a lot closer than we think. It might not be Xi flexing his muscle as much as it is Biden flexing his muscles and snapping them. Russia won't just disappear from geopolitics tomorrow, they won't cease to exist. They need to sell their oil and gas, Europe and China need to buy it, money
has to change hands, and the US dollar is no longer a functional currency for them. And its not like the SPFS is a real alternative to SWIFT. That leaves CIPS, and the Yuan. And the worst slow motion global economic catastrophe for the US since we became a superpower