Quote (Thor123422 @ Aug 23 2020 11:27pm)
Trump is coming back some, but Biden's lowest support so far has been Hillary's highest support, and it's not all from one direction, a lot of the difference is from groups Trump desperately needs. I am hopeful, but with Covid I have no clue how voter turnout will change across demographics. The usual models may turn out to be totally worthless as demographic turnout gets flipped on its head.
We'll see how the convention goes. It seems like it's more Trump and less Republican so it could be a complete shit show or a pretty amazing convention (Trump is actually good at showmanship).
I don't think Trump will be able to out debate Biden.
Honestly, the main issue is voter turnout/suppression and the models can't take that into account. Apparently, he's upset that people can drop their ballots off at voting booths now...