Quote (Knoppie @ Nov 13 2018 01:28pm)
trying to find a middle ground with increased accusation rate resulting into increased convictions as well, while actually numbers of hate crimes committed might actually not have increased.
Seems to make one want to invest into what Samus said.
Yet for now I'll keep expecting hate crimes to increase due to polarization of US society, with a role to play for the government in it as well.
I think the only reason to expect hate crimes to increase if an increase in detecting hate crimes, not an increase in hate crimes themselves.
i'm not saying you're wrong, i just don't agree. neither of us can prove it with much more than imperfect stats. but i see 2 relevant groups:
1. historical racists who commit hate crimes based purely on racism
2. "new racists" who commit hate crimes based on political division that otherwise wouldn't have
now, while there would be some leakage from group to group, what we can say pretty conclusively is group #1 is large, but shrinking. group #2 is new, and slowly growing. while political division rises, those willing to commit hate crimes as a result of division remain rare. whereas historically violence from group #1 has been large, but again is rapidly shrinking.
if that make sense.